Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+150) Miami (-182)

The Miami Marlins (66-79) are welcoming the Washington Nationals (60-84) at loanDepot park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Nationals at +150 while the Marlins are at -182. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Brad Lord and Ryan Weathers.

As a team, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which is 19th in the league. They are sitting with 623 runs and have an OBP of .309. The Nationals have tallied 238 doubles as a unit and have knocked 140 balls out of the park. They have tallied 600 runs batted in and 1,180 base knocks for the year, and their batting average comes in at .245. Washington has a slugging % of .392 and have been rung up 1,161 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.21 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.43. Nationals pitchers have given up 189 long balls and also 785 runs in total (29th in the league). Washington has surrendered 1,308 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 742 earned runs. The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 5.29 on the season (29th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,101 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 498 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.72 as a team for the year.

The Nationals have sent 511 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 239 base runners so far this season with 38.9% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 31 saves so far this year and have blown 15 out of their 46 save opportunities. The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 67.4% and have entered the game in 113 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 66 holds for the year (25th in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 141 times in addition to having 108 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Nationals have transformed 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,370 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 27th in professional baseball. The Washington Nationals have earned a total of 3,790 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,229 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 21st in baseball, and have accumulated 112 double plays.

Lord (5-8 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.14 while facing 457 hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 104 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 39 walks. His ERA is 4.21 (51 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.311. Lord has taken the ball for 109 innings and has earned 92 K's thus far in his career.

The Miami Marlins have accumulated an on-base percentage of .314 as well as a batting average of .250 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,133 instances (26th in the league) and are sitting with 1,236 base hits. Miami has accounted for 138 home runs so far this season as well as 597 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .393 and they earn 4.33 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have hit 243 doubles, while taking a walk 437 times as well as putting up 628 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 738 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.80 (685 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 176 dingers and they give up 5.17 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.327 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.38 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.90 (1,135 strikeouts against 458 free passes). They are sitting at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,247.

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 55 save opportunities and they have recorded 35 saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 452 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 151 times in high leverage situations and also on 112 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.7% out of their 165 inherited runners. Sitting with 132 save situations, the Marlins have 75 holds and 20 blown saves.

Out of their 11,568 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 96 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 1,232 assists, 74 errors and have a tally of 3,856 putouts on the season.

Weathers (11-22 career win-loss mark) has a 4.93 earned run average and has surrendered 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and he has gone up against 1,148 hitters thus far in his career. He has conceded 146 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.374 and a FIP of 4.9. So far in his career, Weathers has surrendered 271 hits while tallying 221 strikeouts in 266 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami (-182) and under 8 runs

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