Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Friday, July 25, 2025
Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
TV: Twins.TV
Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+220) Minnesota (-275)
Target Field is where the Minnesota Twins (49-53) will attempt to defeat the Washington Nationals (41-61) on Friday. The odds on this game have Washington at +220 while Minnesota is at -275. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are MacKenzie Gore and Zebby Matthews.


As a squad, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 17th in MLB. They have earned a total of 440 runs while holding a team OBP of .311. The Nationals have earned 168 doubles as a unit and have knocked 99 balls out of the park. They have recorded 422 runs batted in as well as 839 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .245. Washington has a slugging percentage of .389 and have struck out 779 times, while taking a walk on 296 occasions.
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The Nationals have an ERA of 5.20 on the campaign (28th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 777 batters. Nationals pitchers have given up 121 home runs in addition to 550 runs in total (28th in the league). They have walked 342 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.47 as a squad on the season. Washington has allowed 923 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 518 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.41.
The Nationals have dispatched 356 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 base runners this season and 40.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 20 saves on the campaign and have blown 14 out of their 34 chances to get a save. The Nationals bullpen have a save rate of 58.8% and have come into the game in 76 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 41 holds on the season (29th in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 108 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Nationals have turned 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,076 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 27th in the majors. The Washington Nationals are sitting with 2,692 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 866 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which ranks 18th in professional baseball, and have 76 double plays.
Gore has taken the hill for 484 innings and has earned 544 K's during his career. His ERA is 4.07 (219 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.389. He has conceded 476 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 197 free passes. Gore (25-35 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.01 while he has faced 2,093 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.
The Minnesota Twins have accumulated an OBP of .312 as well as a batting average of .241 on the year. They have struck out on 847 instances (17th in MLB) and are sitting with 824 base hits. Minnesota has recorded 120 home runs so far this season as well as 415 runs batted in. The Twins have a slugging percentage of .401 and they score 4.25 runs per contest (19th in baseball). They have put up 162 two-baggers, while taking a walk 302 times as well as racking up 434 runs.
The Twins have a WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 3.80 as a staff this year. They come in at 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 861. The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 443 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.17 (414 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.70 (866 strikeouts against 265 bases on balls). They have surrendered 111 home runs and they concede 4.46 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).
With 107 save situations, the Twins have accumulated 71 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 34 save chances and they have converted 19 saves. Their relievers have come in 123 times in high leverage situations and also on 73 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.6% of 104 inherited base runners. They are ranked 25th in baseball with a save percentage of 55.9%, and they have dispatched 350 relievers to the hill on the campaign.
The Minnesota Twins have turned 52 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Twins have accrued 749 assists, 48 errors and have earned 2,681 putouts so far this year. In their 8,043 innings played, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (23rd in professional baseball).
So far in his pro baseball career, Matthews has allowed 79 base knocks while he has totaled 74 punch outs in 60 innings pitched. Matthews (2-6 career mark) has earned a 6.58 ERA while surrendering 11.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 44 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.645 and a FIP of 6.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.70 and he has gone up against 281 hitters in his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+220)
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Additional Resources:
Minnesota Twins - Twitter
Washington Nationals - Twitter