Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+125) Philadelphia (-150)

The Washington Nationals (51-75) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (74-53). The moneyline on this matchup has Washington at +125 and Philadelphia is opening at -150. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Mitchell Parker and Aaron Nola.

Washington has a slugging percentage of .388 and have been called out on strikes 970 times, while taking a walk on 357 occasions. They have 512 RBI's as well as 1,018 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is at .244. The Nationals have tallied 206 doubles as a squad and have smacked 118 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 531 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .309. As a team, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which is 20th in MLB.

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The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 5.33 over the course of the season (29th in the league), and their staff has struck out 942 hitters. Nationals pitchers have allowed 153 long balls and also 682 runs in total (29th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 418 batters and their FIP sits at 4.57 as a squad for the season. Washington has given up 1,153 base hits (9.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 645 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.25 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.44.

The Nationals have sent 437 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 217 runners on the season and 40.6% of those runners ended up scoring. They have 24 saves this season and have not converted 15 of their 39 save opportunities. The Nationals bullpen have earned a save rate of 61.5% and have entered the game in 89 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 49 holds this year (30th in baseball). Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 128 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals have amassed 3,268 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,064 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball, and they have turned 98 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,804 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 29th in the majors.

Parker (14-23 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.94 and he has faced 1,226 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 296 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 95 walks. His ERA is 5.01 (156 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.395. Parker has taken the hill for 280 frames and has racked up 217 strikeouts so far in his MLB career.

Philadelphia is sitting with 151 long balls on the campaign to go along with 562 RBIs. They have 207 doubles, while walking 409 times and putting up 587 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an OBP of .325 as well as a team batting average of .255 so far this season. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .418 and they are recording 4.70 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,006 instances (19th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,086 base hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.234 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.20 (1,134 strikeouts vs 335 bases on balls). They rank 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,035. They have allowed 136 homers and they allow 4.05 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 499 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.78 (466 earned runs yielded).

With 110 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 58 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 51 save chances and they have earned 33 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 123 times in high leverage situations and on 82 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.9% of 119 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have sent 383 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 78 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in the majors). The Phillies have 1,080 assists, 45 errors and have accumulated 3,331 putouts on the season. In their 9,993 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Nola has surrendered 1,489 base knocks while he has earned 1,835 K's in 1,673 frames. He has conceded a total of 707 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.152 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.19 and he has faced 6,870 hitters during his career. Nola (105-86 mark in his career) has a 3.80 earned run average and has given up 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+125)

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