Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+126) Philadelphia (-152)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-6) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Arizona at +126 while Philadelphia is at -152. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Brandon Pfaadt and Taijuan Walker.

Arizona has a slugging percentage of .367 and have struck out 87 times, while taking a walk on 32 occasions. They have earned 43 RBI's as well as 85 hits so far this season, and their batting average is .223. The Diamondbacks have hit 23 doubles as a squad and have knocked 8 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 45 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .284. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 19th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.19 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Diamondbacks pitchers have yielded 12 long balls and also 58 runs (22nd in baseball). Arizona has allowed 96 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 49 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 3.89 on the campaign (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 81 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 37 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.26 as a team on the campaign.

Diamondbacks pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 9 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 13 holds for the season (2nd in MLB). The Diamondbacks bullpen have earned a save percentage of 50.0% and have entered the game in 22 save situations. They have tallied 4 saves so far this season and have blown 4 of their 8 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 13 runners on the year and 38.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 46 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Diamondbacks have turned 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 957 innings on the field, which ranks them 8th in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a total of 319 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 109 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball, and they have turned 9 double plays.

Pfaadt (27-28 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.10 while he has gone up against 1,993 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 502 hits (9.7 hits per 9 innings) with 108 free passes. His ERA is 5.18 (267 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.314. Pfaadt has thrown 464 innings and has racked up 431 K's in his pro baseball career.

Philadelphia has a total of 11 long balls on the campaign as well as 42 runs batted in. They have recorded 20 two-baggers, while walking 44 times as well as scoring 42 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies hold a team on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .220 over the course of the season. The Phillies have a SLG% of .351 and they are recording 3.50 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 100 occasions (21st in the league) and have tallied 89 hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.280 and have a FIP of 2.91 as a team this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 10.10 (120 strikeouts against 26 walks). They come in at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 111. They have conceded 10 home runs and they surrender 4.79 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 57 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.21 (50 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 10 save situations, the Phillies have earned 6 holds and also 0 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 4 save opportunities and they have come away with 4 saves. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.0% of 10 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 9 times in high leverage situations and also on 10 occasions with runners on. They rank 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 43 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 6 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (21st in pro baseball). The Phillies have racked up 99 assists, 8 errors and have earned 321 putouts so far this year. In their 963 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 64.2% (30th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Walker has conceded 1,228 base hits while totaling 1,094 punch outs in 1,287 innings pitched. Walker (77-73 career mark) has earned a 4.22 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 604 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.295 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.49 and he has gone up against 5,475 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arizona (+126)

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