Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+177) Los Angeles (-217)

The Atlanta Braves (94-68) are headed to Dodger Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) in Game 1 of the NLDS. The odds on this game have the Braves at +177 while the Dodgers are priced at -217. The betting total is set at 8. The Braves are expected to use an opener, while the Dodgers are starting Tarik Skubal.

The Braves have tallied 251 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 204 balls out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .409 and have been rung up 1,310 times, while taking a walk on 465 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 9th in baseball. They have tallied 711 runs batted in and 1,348 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .246. They have racked up 742 runs while holding a team OBP of .309.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have yielded 185 home runs and also 626 total runs (5th in MLB). Atlanta has conceded 1,259 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 580 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 3.63 for the year (5th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,350 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 529 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a unit this season.

Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 119 times and also have had 175 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 106 holds so far this year (4th in baseball). The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 71.0% and stepped onto the hill in 180 save situations. They have earned 49 saves on the year and have blown 20 out of their 69 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 172 runners on the campaign and 20.9% of those runners crossing home plate. The Braves have sent 499 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Braves have transformed 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,942 innings, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 4,314 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,348 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them ranked 5th in baseball, and have a total of 131 double plays.

Los Angeles has accounted for 204 home runs so far this season as well as 756 runs batted in. They have put up 266 two-baggers, while getting a free base 628 times as well as putting up 801 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned a team OBP of .338 in addition to a team batting average of .257 on the campaign. The Dodgers have a slugging percentage of .424 and they score 4.94 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,267 instances (27th in the league) and have a total of 1,399 hits.

The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 600 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.55 (566 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 172 homers and they surrender 3.76 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Dodgers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.142 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a pitching staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (1,521 strikeouts vs 480 walks). They come in at 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,159.

Los Angeles relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.8% out of 179 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 174 times in high leverage situations and also on 112 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 172 save situations, the Dodgers have accrued 102 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 538 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 89 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in pro baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 1,286 assists, 64 errors and have a total of 4,307 putouts so far this season. Out of their 12,921 innings played, the Dodgers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 72.0% (2nd in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Skubal has surrendered 666 base hits while totaling 959 punch outs in 828 innings pitched. He has allowed 280 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.028 and a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.18 and he has faced 3,302 opposing hitters in his career. Skubal (59-39 career record) has earned a 3.04 earned run average while allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-217)

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