Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+171) Los Angeles (-209)

The Atlanta Braves (94-68) are on their way to Dodger Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) in Game 2 of the NLDS. The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at +171 while Los Angeles is sitting at -209. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Chris Sale and Blake Snell.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in baseball. They are sitting with 742 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .309. The Braves have hit 251 doubles as a unit and have knocked 204 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 711 RBI's and 1,348 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is at .246. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .409 and have been rung up 1,310 times, while drawing a walk on 465 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have surrendered 185 home runs and also 626 total runs (5th in the league). Atlanta has yielded 1,259 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 580 earned runs. The Braves have an earned run average of 3.63 on the year (5th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,350 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 529 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a team for the year.

The Braves bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 71.0% and stepped onto the hill in 180 save situations. They have compiled 49 saves this season and have not converted 20 out of their 69 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 172 runners for the season and 20.9% of them crossing the plate. Braves bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 119 times as well as having 175 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 499 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen are sitting with 106 holds so far this year (4th in baseball).

The Braves have turned 71.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,942 innings, ranking them 5th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 4,314 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,348 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .989 which is 5th in the majors, and have accumulated 131 double plays.

Sale has taken the ball for 2,246 innings and is sitting with 2,779 punch outs so far in his career. His earned run average is 2.95 (736 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.041. He has surrendered 1,821 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 518 walks. Sale (159-97 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.90 while he has faced 9,037 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Dodgers have a slugging percentage of .424 and they average 4.94 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have hit 266 doubles, while getting a free base 628 times as well as scoring 801 runs. Los Angeles has a total of 204 HRs on the year to go along with 756 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,267 occasions (27th in MLB) and have totaled 1,399 hits. The Los Angeles Dodgers have tallied an on-base percentage of .338 and a batting average of .257 for the season.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.142 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a pitching staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (1,521 strikeouts against 480 walks). They come in at 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,159. They have surrendered 172 dingers and they surrender 3.76 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 600 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.55 (566 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 172 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 102 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Los Angeles has had relievers step onto the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have tallied 46 saves. Los Angeles relievers have an inherited score rate of 35.8% out of 179 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 174 times in high leverage situations in addition to 112 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 13th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 538 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 89 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Dodgers have accrued 1,286 assists, 64 errors and have accounted for 4,307 putouts for the year. In their 12,921 innings on the field, the Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 72.0% (2nd in baseball).

In his career, Snell has surrendered 922 hits while he has totaled 1,495 K's in 1,200 innings. Snell (85-63 career win-loss record) holds a 3.10 earned run average while allowing 6.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up 414 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.78 and he has gone up against 4,964 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-209)

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