Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 25, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-152) Miami (+126)

The Atlanta Braves (92-65) are on their way to LoanDepot Park on Friday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (77-80). The moneyline on this game has the Braves at -152 and the Marlins are coming in at +126. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Grant Holmes and Eury Perez.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 8th in MLB. They have accumulated 722 runs and have an OBP of .311. The Braves have earned 246 doubles as a unit and have knocked 198 balls out of the park. They have accrued 692 runs batted in in addition to 1,313 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average is .248. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .410 and have struck out 1,271 times, while drawing a walk on 452 occasions.

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The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.62 this season (5th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,314 batters. Braves pitchers have conceded 176 home runs and 606 total runs (4th in MLB). They have walked 519 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a team this season. Atlanta has given up 1,221 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 560 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Braves bullpen have earned a save rate of 72.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 178 save situations. They have earned 49 saves for the year and have blown 19 out of their 68 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 171 base runners this season with 21.1% of them crossing home plate. Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on 117 times and also have had 171 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 483 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The bullpen are sitting with 105 holds this season (4th in the league).

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 4,182 putouts this season, as well as 1,300 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 5th in the majors, and have 127 double plays. The Braves have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,546 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in professional baseball.

Holmes (16-15 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.62 and he has gone up against 1,399 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 299 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 128 free passes. His earned run average is 3.68 (135 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.293. Holmes has taken the ball for 330 frames and has tallied 307 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Miami has recorded 162 HRs on the season as well as 670 RBIs. They have notched 238 doubles, while getting a free base 540 times and putting up 700 runs. The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .249 for the year. The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .400 and they are earning 4.46 runs per contest (16th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,310 occasions (16th in baseball) and have recorded 1,306 base hits.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.288 and have a FIP of 4.17 as a team for the year. They are sitting at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,236. The Miami pitching staff have given up 697 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.13 (635 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (1,282 strikeouts against 547 walks). They have allowed 167 home runs and they concede 4.53 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

They sit at 20th in the league holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 528 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 159 times in high leverage situations and also on 145 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 147 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 88 holds and 22 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 55 save chances and they have earned 33 saves. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.4% of 201 inherited base runners.

In 12,459 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 109 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,312 assists, 98 errors and have 4,153 putouts this year.

Thus far in his career, Perez has surrendered 263 base hits while accumulating 375 strikeouts in 336 frames. He has allowed 146 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.169 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.88 and he has faced 1,390 batters so far in his MLB career. Perez (19-23 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.91 ERA and has allowed 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-152)

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