Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-150) Miami (+125)

The Miami Marlins (78-81) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (93-66) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Atlanta at -150 while Miami opens at +125. The total is 9. The starting pitchers are Elieser Hernandez and Bradley Blalock.

Atlanta has a slugging rate of .411 and have struck out 1,283 times, while being walked on 458 occasions. They have 701 RBI's and 1,332 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is .248. The Braves have accumulated 249 doubles as a squad and have knocked 201 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 731 runs scored and hold an OBP of .311. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 8th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.56 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have surrendered 180 home runs in addition to 615 total runs (5th in MLB). Atlanta has relinquished 1,233 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and 569 earned runs. The Braves have a team ERA of 3.62 this season (5th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,336 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 522 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit on the campaign.

The Braves have sent 490 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 171 runners so far this year and 21.1% of them crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have notched 105 holds over the course of the season (4th in MLB). Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 118 times in addition to having 175 appearances in high leverage situations. They have 49 saves on the season and have blown 20 out of their 69 save opportunities. The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 71.0% and stepped onto the hill in 179 save situations.

The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 4,239 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,315 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which is 5th in professional baseball, and they have turned 128 double plays. The Braves have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs in their 12,717 innings on the field, ranking them 5th in professional baseball.

Hernandez has pitched in 314 innings and has earned 296 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.01 (175 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.321. He has allowed 310 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 105 walks. Hernandez (12-22 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.94 while he has faced 1,360 opposing batters in the majors.

The Marlins have a team slugging % of .399 and they average 4.43 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have notched 240 two-baggers, while taking a walk 545 times and scoring 704 runs. Miami has tallied 163 home runs for the season to go along with 674 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,323 instances (16th in baseball) and have earned 1,321 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .248 for the season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.288 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,296 strikeouts vs 554 walks). They sit at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,250. They have yielded 168 dingers and they give up 4.50 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have yielded 701 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.10 (639 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 151 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 89 holds and also 23 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 57 save chances and they have walked away with 34 saves. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.9% of 204 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 163 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 20th in the league with a save rate of 59.6%, and they have sent 535 relievers onto the field on the year.

The Miami Marlins have turned 111 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (28th in professional baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,336 assists, 98 errors and have earned a total of 4,204 putouts so far this season. In their 12,612 innings played, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in MLB).

Blalock (3-9 mark in his career) is the owner of a 7.97 earned run average and has given up 12.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.22 and he has gone up against 457 hitters in his career. He has given up 86 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.802 and being the owner of a FIP of 7.9. So far in his MLB career, Blalock has conceded 129 hits while tallying 56 strikeouts in 97 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-150)

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