Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-132) Miami (+110)

The Atlanta Braves (93-66) are en route to LoanDepot Park on Sunday where they will take on the Miami Marlins (78-81). The odds on this game have Atlanta at -132 and Miami is opening at +110. The total is set at 9. The men taking the mound are JR Ritchie and Janson Junk.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .411 and have been rung up 1,283 times, while being walked on 458 occasions. They have 701 runs batted in and 1,332 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is .248. The Braves have accounted for 249 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 201 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 731 runs while holding a team OBP of .311. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 8th in MLB.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have yielded 180 home runs and also 615 total runs (5th in baseball). Atlanta has conceded 1,233 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 569 earned runs. The Braves have a team ERA of 3.62 on the season (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,336 hitters. They have walked 522 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a team on the year.

The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.0% and have entered the game in 179 save situations. They have tallied 49 saves on the season and have not converted 20 out of their 69 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 171 base runners on the campaign and 21.1% of them earned a run for their team. Braves pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 118 times as well as having 175 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 490 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have tallied 105 holds on the season (4th in MLB).

The Braves have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,717 innings, which has them sitting at 5th in MLB. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 4,239 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,315 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them ranked 5th in the majors, and they have turned 128 double plays.

Ritchie (1-4 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.75 and he has faced 300 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 58 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 41 free passes. His earned run average is 4.82 (36 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.473. Ritchie has taken the hill for 67 frames and has accounted for 66 strikeouts during his career.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .399 and they average 4.43 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have tallied 240 doubles, while walking 545 times and notching 704 runs. Miami has knocked in 163 home runs on the season to go along with 674 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,323 occasions (16th in the league) and have totaled 1,321 hits. The Miami Marlins are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .326 as well as a batting average of .248 this season.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.288 with a FIP of 4.16 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (1,296 strikeouts against 554 walks). They are currently ranked 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,250. They have given up 168 HR's and they relinquish 4.50 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have given up 701 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.10 (639 earned runs conceded).

They are ranked 20th in baseball holding a save rate of 59.6%, and they have dispatched 535 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 163 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 151 save situations, the Marlins have earned 89 holds and also 23 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 57 save chances and they have earned 34 saves. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.9% out of their 204 inherited base runners.

Out of their 12,612 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 111 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (28th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 1,336 assists, 98 errors and have earned a total of 4,204 putouts during this campaign.

Junk (13-16 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.62 ERA while surrendering 9.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.48 and he has faced 1,141 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 138 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 4.5. In his pro baseball career, Junk has surrendered 296 hits while tallying 195 strikeouts in 269 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-132)

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