Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/15/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+106) New York (-128)

The Baltimore Orioles (72-78) are en route to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the New York Mets (69-80). The odds on this game have Baltimore at +106 and New York is coming in at -128. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Shane Baz and Sean Manaea.

The Orioles have compiled 220 doubles as a squad and have hit 179 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .393 and have been rung up 1,399 times, while drawing a walk on 556 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.5 runs per outing, which has them at 14th in the league. They have amassed 648 RBI's and 1,172 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is at .234. They have 672 runs and have an on-base percentage of .316.

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The Orioles are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.20 over the course of the season (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,207 hitters. Orioles pitchers have given up 164 home runs and also 707 total runs (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 498 opposing players and their FIP is 4.12 as a squad so far this season. Baltimore has surrendered 1,303 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 623 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35.

Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 151 times and also have had 158 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 79 holds on the year (17th in MLB). The Orioles bullpen have a save rate of 66.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 145 save situations. They have accumulated 42 saves for the season and have not converted 21 of 63 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 208 runners for the season with 27.4% of those runners crossing the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 501 relievers to the mound this year.

The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 4,006 putouts on the year, as well as 1,273 assists and 90 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which has them ranked 24th in pro baseball, and have 113 double plays. The Orioles have transformed 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,018 innings, which has them sitting 27th in baseball.

Baz has taken the ball for 455 innings and has 443 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 4.17 (211 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.266. He has given up 415 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 161 walks. Baz (23-32 career record) has a FIP of 4.11 while facing 1,917 opposing hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .238 on the year. They have struck out on 1,258 occasions (14th in the league) and have recorded 1,195 hits. New York has hit 188 home runs for the season to go along with 614 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .396 and they are scoring 4.32 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have 192 doubles, while taking a walk 479 times as well as putting up 643 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.304 and have a FIP of 4.08 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They come in at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,214. The New York pitching staff have conceded 677 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.18 (616 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,326 strikeouts against 514 walks). They have yielded 168 home runs and they surrender 4.60 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

They sit at 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.7%, and they have dispatched 462 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 151 times in high leverage situations and also on 135 occasions with base runners. With 117 save situations, the Mets have earned 66 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 47 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.1% of 192 inherited base runners.

The New York Mets have gotten 91 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 1,159 assists, 89 errors and have accounted for 3,977 putouts on the season. In their 11,931 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (19th in the majors).

In his career, Manaea has conceded 1,288 base hits while he has totaled 1,310 strikeouts in 1,378 frames. Manaea (84-73 record in his career) has a 4.15 earned run average while conceding 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 636 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 3.38 and he has gone up against 5,778 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+106)

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