Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Pittsburgh (-130)

PNC Park is the site where the Pittsburgh Pirates (3-3) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (3-3) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +110 while Pittsburgh is sitting at -130. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Shane Baz and Carmen Mlodzinski.

The Orioles have accrued 10 doubles as a team and have hit 5 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .383 and have been rung up 58 times, while taking a walk on 22 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 13th in baseball. They have earned 26 runs batted in in addition to 50 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .255. They have tallied 26 runs while holding a team OBP of .332.

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The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.33 for the season (21st in the league), and they have struck out 58 hitters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 6 long balls and 27 total runs (17th in baseball). They have walked 23 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a unit on the year. Baltimore has conceded 51 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 26 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.52 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37.

Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 5 times as well as having 5 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 3 holds over the course of the season (14th in the league). The bullpen pitchers have inherited 10 base runners so far this year with 0.0% of them ended up scoring. The Orioles have dispatched 20 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 162 putouts on the campaign, as well as 44 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .976 which has them ranked 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 5 double plays. The Orioles have turned 66.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 486 innings on the field, which has them sitting 26th in the majors.

Baz has pitched in 291 innings and has totaled 297 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Baz (17-17 career mark) has a FIP of 4.23 and he has gone up against 1,217 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.30 (139 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.230. He has allowed 255 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 103 walks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates hold an on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a batting average of .231 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 59 occasions (11th in MLB) and have totaled 50 base hits. Pittsburgh has knocked in 10 home runs for the year to go along with 29 RBIs. The Pirates have a slugging percentage of .398 and they score 4.83 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have tallied 6 two-baggers, while walking 25 times and recording 29 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 26 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.67 (22 earned runs allowed). They have given up 6 home runs and they allow 4.33 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.352 and have a FIP of 4.26 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 10.30 (62 strikeouts vs 32 walks). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 41.

They are ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 25 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 12 times in high leverage situations and on 8 occasions with runners on.

In their 486 innings played, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (11th in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 3 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Pirates have 38 assists, 3 errors and have a total of 162 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Mlodzinski has surrendered 177 base hits while earning 177 punch outs in 189 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 69 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.273 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and he has faced 800 batters during his pro baseball career. Mlodzinski (13-16 career win-loss record) has a 3.28 earned run average while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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