Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 3/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+110) Seattle (-132)

T-Mobile Park is where the Seattle Mariners (90-72 last season) will take on the Cleveland Guardians (88-74 last year) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Cleveland at +110 while Seattle is sitting at -132. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Tanner Bibee and Logan Gilbert.

The Guardians accumulated 243 doubles as a team and smacked 168 balls out of the stadium. Cleveland owned a slugging percentage of .373 and were rung up 1,344 times, while drawing a walk on 494 occasions. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians recorded 4.0 runs per game, which was 28th in the league. They tallied 621 runs batted in in addition to 1,199 base knocks for the prior year, while their team batting average sat at .226. They were sitting with 643 runs while having a team OBP of .296.

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The Guardians held a team earned run average of 3.70 over the course of the prior season (5th in baseball), and their staff struck out 1,381 batters. Guardians pitchers gave up 169 home runs and 649 runs in total (8th in MLB). They walked 527 opposing hitters and their FIP finished at 3.95 as a squad last year. Cleveland allowed 1,291 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 593 earned runs. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.26.

The Guardians dispatched 531 relief pitchers to the hill in the prior season. The relievers inherited 209 base runners in the prior season and 32.5% of them ended up scoring. They accumulated 47 saves last year and blew 22 of 69 save opportunities. The Guardians relief pitchers had a save percentage of 68.1% and entered the game in 184 save situations. The relievers had a total of 112 holds last year (2nd in the league). Guardians relief pitchers came into the game with runners on 151 times as well as having 192 games in high leverage situations.

The Guardians turned 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,978 innings, which ranked them 17th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds amassed 4,326 putouts over the course of last season, in addition to 1,330 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding rate held steady at .985 which had them ranked 21st in baseball, and they turned 121 double plays.

Bibee has taken the hill for 497 frames and has earned 490 K's during his pro baseball career. Bibee (34-23 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.57 while he has faced 2,057 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.62 (200 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.176. He has given up 442 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 143 free passes.

The Mariners held a team SLG% of .420 and they scored 4.73 runs per game (10th in MLB). They recorded 234 doubles, while getting a free base 544 times and putting up 766 runs. Seattle had a total of 238 HRs over the course of the prior season and 734 runs batted in. They struck out on 1,446 occasions (6th in MLB) and earned 1,345 hits. The Seattle Mariners had a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .244 last year.

The Mariners held a team WHIP of 1.221 and had a FIP of 3.98 as a unit over the course of last year. They were sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,331. The Seattle pitching staff surrendered 694 runs over the course of the prior season while having a team ERA of 3.87 (629 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.80 (1,426 strikeouts vs 454 walks). They gave up 192 homers and they allowed 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

Seattle relief pitchers had an inherited score rate of 25.2% of 147 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers came in 216 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with base runners. Wrapping up the year with 159 save situations, the Mariners earned 90 holds and 26 blown saves. They were ranked 19th in the league holding a save percentage of 62.3%, and they sent 550 relievers to the hill last season. Seattle called on relievers to step onto the mound in 69 save opportunities and they tallied 43 saves.

In 13,164 innings on the diamond, the Mariners held a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in MLB). The Seattle Mariners had 118 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). The Mariners recorded 1,355 assists, 69 errors and accounted for 4,388 putouts in the prior season.

During his career, Gilbert has surrendered 703 hits while he has earned 884 strikeouts in 835 innings. Gilbert (47-36 record in his career) holds a 3.58 ERA while giving up 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 332 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.059 and having a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.88 and he has faced 3,377 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (-132)

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