Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/27/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, March 27, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+162) San Diego (-196)

The Detroit Tigers (87-75 last year) are en route to Petco Park on Friday where they will try to defeat the San Diego Padres (90-72 last season). The moneyline on this matchup has the Tigers at +162 and the Padres are at -196. The over/under is 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Framber Valdez and Michael King.

Detroit had a slugging % of .413 and were rung up 1,454 times, while being walked on 511 occasions. They amassed 724 runs batted in as well as 1,346 hits in the previous season, and their average at the plate sat at .247. The Tigers hit 244 two-baggers as a team and smacked 198 baseballs out of the park. They earned 758 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers compiled 4.7 runs per game, which had them at 11th in the league.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

The Tigers had an earned run average of 3.95 for the prior year (16th in the league), and their staff struck out 1,375 hitters. Tigers pitchers allowed 187 long balls and 691 total runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 485 opposing hitters and their FIP was 4.05 as a team in the prior season. Detroit surrendered 1,309 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.84 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.25.

Tigers pitchers stepped onto the hill with players on base 182 times as well as having 140 games in high leverage situations. The relievers had a total of 75 holds over the course of last year (26th in the league). The Tigers bullpen recorded a save percentage of 64.5% and stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. They accumulated 40 saves over the course of the prior season and blew 22 of their 62 save chances. The bullpen inherited 258 base runners over the course of last season with 28.7% of those runners crossed home plate. The Tigers dispatched 508 relief pitchers to the hill in the prior season.

The Colorado Rockies notched a total of 4,309 putouts for the previous season, in addition to 1,379 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .981 which was 29th in pro baseball, and they turned 128 double plays. The Tigers turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,927 innings on the field, which had them sitting at 13th in the majors.

Valdez (81-52 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.32 and he has gone up against 4,483 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 912 base hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 389 walks. His ERA is 3.37 (404 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.204. Valdez has taken the ball for 1,080 innings and has accounted for 1,053 K's so far in his MLB career.

The San Diego Padres compiled an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .252 over the course of last season. They were called out on strikes on 1,161 occasions (28th in baseball) and totaled 1,369 base hits. San Diego had 152 HRs for the prior year to go along with 663 runs batted in. The Padres held a team SLG% of .390 and they scored 4.33 runs per contest (18th in the league). They had 254 doubles, while getting a free base 510 times as well as racking up 702 runs.

The Padres had a team WHIP of 1.209 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a staff in the previous season. They were sitting at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,197. The San Diego pitching staff allowed 621 runs for the previous season while holding a team ERA of 3.63 (578 earned runs yielded). They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,425 strikeouts vs 535 walks). They allowed 178 dingers and they conceded 3.90 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

Finishing with 174 save situations, the Padres tallied 104 holds and 16 blown saves. San Diego had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 65 save chances and they tallied 49 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the mound 209 times in high leverage situations and on 185 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers held an inherited score rate of 29.3% of 263 inherited runners. They were ranked 1st in baseball with a save rate of 75.4%, and they sent 577 bullpen pitchers to the hill last season.

In their 12,897 innings played, the Padres had a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (3rd in the majors). The San Diego Padres had 117 double plays and notched a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in baseball). The Padres racked up 1,234 assists, 74 errors and a tally of 4,299 putouts over the course of last season.

In his MLB career, King has surrendered 418 base knocks and he has 559 strikeouts in 494 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 178 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.194 and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.25 and he has faced 2,069 batters during his career. King (31-29 career record) has earned a 3.24 ERA while surrendering 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-196)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.