Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+106) San Diego (-128)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (90-72 last season) will try to defeat the Detroit Tigers (87-75 last year) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Detroit at +106 and San Diego is at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jack Flaherty and Randy Vasquez.

As a squad, the Detroit Tigers put up 4.7 runs per game, which put them at 11th in MLB. They racked up 758 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. The Tigers tallied 244 two-baggers as a unit and knocked 198 balls out of the stadium. They tallied 724 RBI's in addition to 1,346 hits for the prior year, and their average at the plate was at .247. Detroit had a slugging % of .413 and struck out 1,454 times, while taking a walk on 511 occasions.

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The Tigers finished with a team ERA of 3.95 for the prior year (16th in the league), and their staff rung up 1,375 hitters. Tigers pitchers relinquished 187 home runs and also 691 runs in total (16th in the league). They walked 485 hitters and their FIP came in at 4.05 as a squad for the previous season. Detroit gave up 1,309 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 630 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio was 2.84 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.25.

The Tigers dispatched 508 relief pitchers to the mound in the previous season. The relief pitchers inherited 258 base runners in the previous season with 28.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They tallied 40 saves over the course of the prior season and missed out on 22 out of their 62 chances to save the game. The Tigers bullpen accumulated a save rate of 64.5% and stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. The bullpen had 75 holds in the previous season (26th in the league). Tigers pitchers went to the mound with runners on base 182 times in addition to having 140 outings in high leverage situations.

The Colorado Rockies had 4,309 putouts for the prior year, as well as 1,379 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding rate finished at .981 which ranked 29th in MLB, and accumulated 128 double plays. The Tigers converted 70.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,927 innings, ranking them 13th in pro baseball.

Flaherty has pitched in 990 frames and is sitting with 1,130 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.80 (418 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.199. He has conceded 836 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 351 walks. Flaherty (63-56 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.74 while going up against 4,120 opposing batters in the major leagues.

San Diego was sitting with 152 long balls over the course of last season to go along with 663 runs batted in. They hit 254 two-baggers, while walking 510 times and putting up 702 runs. The San Diego Padres had an OBP of .321 in addition to a team batting average of .252 last season. The Padres held a team SLG% of .390 and they earned 4.33 runs per game (18th in baseball). They were rung up on 1,161 occasions (28th in the league) and totaled 1,369 base hits.

The Padres held a team WHIP of 1.209 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a unit in the previous season. They had a ranking of 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,197. The San Diego pitching staff given up 621 runs in the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.63 (578 earned runs surrendered). They earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,425 strikeouts vs 535 free passes). They surrendered 178 homers and they gave up 3.90 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

Finishing with 174 save situations, the Padres tallied 104 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. San Diego had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 65 save opportunities and they came away with 49 saves. Their relievers came in 209 times in high leverage situations and on 185 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 29.3% out of their 263 inherited base runners. They were sitting at 1st in baseball with a save percentage of 75.4%, and they dispatched 577 relievers to the mound last season.

Out of their 12,897 innings played, the Padres earned a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (3rd in pro baseball). The San Diego Padres turned 117 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in baseball). The Padres accrued 1,234 assists, 74 errors and accounted for 4,299 putouts over the course of last year.

Vasquez (12-16 career mark) is the owner of a 4.09 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.75 and he has gone up against 1,167 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 122 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.390 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. So far in his pro baseball career, Vasquez has allowed 274 base hits while he has earned 173 strikeouts in 268 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (+106)

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