Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Detroit SportsNet

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-210) Detroit (+172)

The Detroit Tigers (4-9) host the Miami Marlins (8-5) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Marlins at -210 and the Tigers are at +172. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Janson Junk and Casey Mize.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball. They have earned 59 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .340. The Marlins have hit 21 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 10 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 58 runs batted in in addition to 104 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average comes in at .262. Miami owns a slugging percentage of .411 and have been called out on strikes 90 times, while drawing a walk on 39 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Marlins pitchers have given up 10 home runs and also 53 runs (15th in the league). Miami has surrendered 76 hits (6.4 per 9 innings) as well as 45 earned runs. The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.79 for the season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 113 hitters. They have walked 49 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.83 as a unit so far this season.

The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 66.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 13 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 2 of their 6 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 11 runners so far this year with 45.5% of those players ended up scoring. Marlins bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 8 times and also have had 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 36 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have tallied 6 holds so far this season (18th in the league).

The Marlins have turned 73.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 963 innings on the field, ranking them 5th in pro baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a total of 321 putouts for the season, as well as 86 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .976 which puts them in 26th in baseball, and have accumulated 5 double plays.

Junk (7-8 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.67 while he has gone up against 683 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 184 base knocks (10.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 26 free passes. His earned run average is 4.75 (85 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.303. Junk has taken the ball for 161 frames and has 119 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Detroit Tigers have earned an OBP of .330 and a team batting average of .239 on the season. They have struck out on 112 occasions (10th in baseball) and have recorded 96 base hits. Detroit has knocked in 7 home runs on the season to go along with 51 runs batted in. The Tigers have a team SLG% of .361 and they score 4.42 runs per game (15th in the league). They have recorded 24 doubles, while getting a free base 49 times as well as scoring 53 runs.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.419 in addition to having a FIP of 4.03 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (92 strikeouts vs 49 walks). They have a ranking of 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 93. They have allowed 8 homers and they surrender 4.86 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB). The Detroit pitching staff have given up 54 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.41 (49 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 8 save situations, the Tigers have amassed 5 holds in addition to 1 blown save. Detroit has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 2 save opportunities and they have come away with 1 save. Detroit relievers hold an inherited score rate of 46.4% out of their 28 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 5 times in high leverage situations and also on 16 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 34 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

In their 903 innings on the diamond, the Tigers hold a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (20th in professional baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 9 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .976 (27th in MLB). The Tigers have recorded 104 assists, 10 errors and have earned a total of 301 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Mize has surrendered 457 base knocks while he has earned 378 strikeouts in 450 frames. He has conceded a total of 211 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.295 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and he has gone up against 1,915 batters during his career. Mize (23-26 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.22 earned run average while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (+172)

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