Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+125) New York (-145)

Yankee Stadium is where the New York Yankees (5-1) will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (5-1) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +125 while the Yankees are at -145. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Max Meyer and Ryan Weathers.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 5.5 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have earned 33 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .365. The Marlins have tallied 15 two-baggers as a team and have hit 6 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 33 runs batted in and 56 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .290. Miami has a slugging % of .482 and have been called out on strikes 42 times, while drawing a walk on 19 occasions.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team earned run average of 2.83 this year (5th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 60 batters. Marlins pitchers have yielded 4 home runs and also 18 runs (5th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 9 opposing hitters and their FIP is 2.58 as a team this season. Miami has allowed 36 hits (6.0 per 9 innings) as well as 17 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 6.67 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 0.83.

Marlins relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 1 time as well as having 5 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 2 holds so far this year (23rd in baseball). The bullpen pitchers have inherited 1 base runner on the season. The Marlins have dispatched 15 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Marlins have converted 74.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 486 innings, which has them sitting at 5th in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accumulated 162 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 42 assists and 4 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which has them ranked 22nd in MLB, and they have turned 1 double play.

Meyer has taken the hill for 132 frames and has accounted for 125 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Meyer (6-11 mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.23 and he has faced 582 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.31 (78 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.430. He has allowed 146 base hits (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 43 walks.

The New York Yankees are sitting with an OBP of .287 as well as a batting average of .227 so far this year. They have struck out on 58 occasions (14th in the league) and have 45 base hits. New York has a total of 5 long balls this year to go along with 22 RBIs. The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .359 and they are scoring 4.00 runs per game (19th in the league). They have put up 7 two-baggers, while taking a walk 16 times as well as racking up 24 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 0.847 and have a FIP of 1.90 as a squad on the year. They are sitting at 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 33. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 6 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 1.02 (6 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (55 strikeouts vs 12 walks). They have surrendered 0 homers and they allow 1.02 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 8 times in high leverage situations and on 6 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 8th in the league with a save percentage of 100.0%, and they have sent 21 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

In their 480 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 74.4% (3rd in the majors). The New York Yankees have gotten 5 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .991 (11th in pro baseball). The Yankees have recorded 54 assists, 2 errors and have earned 160 putouts on the campaign.

Weathers (12-23 mark in his career) holds a 4.89 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.40 and he has gone up against 1,231 batters in his career. He has given up a total of 155 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.385 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. In his MLB career, Weathers has conceded 294 base hits while he has earned 242 strikeouts in 285 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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