Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 4/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-182) Toronto (+150)

The Minnesota Twins (7-6) are traveling to Rogers Centre on Saturday where they will try to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (5-7). The moneyline on this contest has Minnesota at -182 and Toronto is sitting at +150. The betting total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Joe Ryan and Eric Lauer.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.8 runs/g, which has them at 9th in MLB. They are sitting with 57 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325. The Twins have earned 18 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 10 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 53 runs batted in and 86 hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .221. Minnesota has a slugging % of .350 and have been called out on strikes 115 times, while being walked on 56 occasions.

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The Twins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.11 on the season (19th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 98 batters. Twins pitchers have given up 7 home runs and also 54 runs in total (17th in MLB). They have walked 48 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.87 as a squad on the campaign. Minnesota has surrendered 102 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 48 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.04 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.43.

The Twins bullpen have earned a save rate of 100.0% and have come into the game in 18 save situations. They have recorded 4 saves for the season and have blown 0 of 4 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 25 runners this season and 24.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 17 times as well as having 13 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 46 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 14 holds so far this season (1st in MLB).

The Twins have turned 67.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 945 innings, which has them ranked 25th in MLB. The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 315 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 78 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which is 18th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 8 double plays.

Ryan has thrown 655 innings and has 736 K's during his MLB career. Ryan (47-37 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 2,664 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.80 (277 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.068. He has allowed 547 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 153 walks.

The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .341 and they are scoring 3.42 runs per outing (27th in baseball). They have recorded 14 doubles, while taking a walk 45 times and notching 41 runs. Toronto has knocked in 10 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 39 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 86 occasions (30th in MLB) and have a total of 93 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled a team OBP of .309 and a batting average of .228 so far this year.

The Toronto pitching staff have given up 63 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.45 (54 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 14 homers and they surrender 5.19 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.355 in addition to having a FIP of 3.57 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 11.40 (139 strikeouts against 44 walks). They are currently ranked 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 104.

They are currently ranked 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 28.6%, and they have dispatched 51 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 23 times in high leverage situations and on 21 occasions with runners on base. With 16 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 8 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 26 inherited base runners.

In their 987 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 65.0% (29th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 7 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .977 (24th in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 91 assists, 10 errors and have amassed 329 putouts for the season.

Lauer (46-40 record in his career) has earned a 4.14 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.61 and he has faced 3,035 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 326 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.329 and having a FIP of 4.1. During his MLB career, Lauer has allowed 681 base knocks while he has earned 678 strikeouts in 708 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (+150) and under 8 runs

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