Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-132) New York (+110)

The New York Mets (69-84) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (85-68) at Citi Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -132 and New York is at +110. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Cristopher Sanchez and Jonah Tong.

Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .398 and have struck out 1,256 times, while being walked on 492 occasions. They have tallied 664 runs batted in and 1,238 hits this year, while their team batting average is at .242. The Phillies have earned 227 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 177 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 684 runs while having a team OBP of .312. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 15th in baseball.

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The Phillies have an ERA of 3.96 this year (11th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,484 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 180 home runs and also 650 runs in total (10th in the league). They have walked 459 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.79 as a team for the year. Philadelphia has yielded 1,278 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 598 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28.

The Phillies have dispatched 500 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 155 runners for the season and 36.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have tallied 72 holds for the year (24th in MLB). Phillies pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 114 times and also have had 152 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 41 saves on the season and have missed out on 23 of 64 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 64.1% and stepped onto the hill in 138 save situations.

The Phillies have transformed 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of 12,234 innings on the field, which ranks them 28th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 4,078 putouts this season, as well as 1,270 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 99 double plays.

Sanchez has thrown 728 frames and has tallied 724 K's in his MLB career. Sanchez (47-27 career record) holds a FIP of 3.12 and he has gone up against 2,998 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.16 (256 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.181. He has allowed 688 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 172 free passes.

New York has a total of 190 HRs on the year as well as 621 runs batted in. They have notched 195 doubles, while walking 495 times as well as putting up 650 runs. The New York Mets have recorded a team on-base percentage of .308 and a team batting average of .237 on the year. The Mets have a team slugging % of .393 and they average 4.25 runs per contest (22nd in MLB). They have struck out on 1,288 occasions (13th in the league) and are sitting with 1,224 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have given up 696 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.17 (631 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 177 HR's and they concede 4.60 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.299 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.10 (1,372 strikeouts against 523 bases on balls). They rank 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,248.

With 120 save situations, the Mets have amassed 68 holds and 19 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 48 save chances and they have earned 29 saves. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.1% out of their 192 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 156 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with base runners. They sit at 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.4%, and they have dispatched 474 relievers to the mound for the season.

Out of their 12,273 innings played, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (19th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 93 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (25th in baseball). The Mets have racked up 1,185 assists, 91 errors and have amassed 4,091 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Tong has given up 40 base hits while he has earned 42 K's in 39 innings pitched. Tong (4-4 career mark) has a 5.51 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 24 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.480 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.33 and he has gone up against 178 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

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