Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 3/30/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, March 30, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+132) Cincinnati (-160)

The Cincinnati Reds (1-1) will compete against the Pittsburgh Pirates (0-2) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The line on this matchup has Pittsburgh at +132 while Cincinnati is sitting at -160. The total is 8. The starting pitchers will be Braxton Ashcraft and Chase Burns.

Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .422 and have been rung up 19 times, while taking a walk on 4 occasions. They have recorded 9 RBI's and 22 base knocks on the season, and their batting average sits at .265. The Pirates have earned 4 doubles as a unit and have smacked 3 balls out of the park. They have tallied 9 runs while having a team OBP of .299. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are knocking in 4.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 14th in baseball.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 6.50 on the campaign (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 18 batters. Pirates pitchers have given up 3 long balls in addition to 15 runs in total (26th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 14 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 5.74 as a unit on the year. Pittsburgh has conceded 17 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 13 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.29 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.72.

The Pirates have dispatched 10 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have inherited 5 base runners this season with 20.0% of them crossed the plate. The relief pitchers have no holds over the course of the season (27th in MLB). Pirates relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 4 times as well as having 4 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated 54 putouts this season, as well as 12 assists and 1 error. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which puts them in 18th in MLB, and have accumulated 1 double play. The Pirates have turned 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 162 innings, which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball.

Ashcraft has taken the mound for 69 innings and has earned 71 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 2.73 (21 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.257. He has allowed 63 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 24 walks. Ashcraft (4-4 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 2.69 and he has faced 292 batters during his time in the majors.

Cincinnati has accumulated 2 home runs for the season as well as 6 RBIs. They have notched 3 doubles, while taking a walk 10 times as well as scoring 6 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an on-base percentage of .286 in addition to a batting average of .189 this season. The Reds have a team slugging % of .311 and they have an average of 3.00 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have been rung up on 24 occasions (13th in baseball) and have 14 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 8 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.60 (8 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 2 long balls and they relinquish 3.60 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.400 and have a FIP of 3.51 as a unit for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.90 (22 strikeouts against 8 walks). They come in at 18th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 20.

Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 4 times in high leverage situations and also on 6 occasions with base runners. They rank 18th in baseball with a save rate of 0.0%, and they have sent 11 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 3 double plays and own a fielding percentage of 1.000 (8th in baseball). The Reds have 18 assists, no errors and have earned a total of 60 putouts on the campaign. In 180 innings played, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.0% (26th in MLB).

Burns (0-3 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.59 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.19 and he has faced 188 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 22 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.323 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. In his MLB career, Burns has given up 41 hits while he has tallied 67 punch outs in 43 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+132)

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