Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 3/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+132) Philadelphia (-160)

The Philadelphia Phillies (96-66 last year) will take on the Texas Rangers (81-81 last season) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Rangers at +132 and the Phillies are coming in at -160. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are MacKenzie Gore and Jesus Luzardo.

Texas had a slugging percentage of .381 and were called out on strikes 1,327 times, while being walked on 486 occasions. They compiled 658 runs batted in as well as 1,275 base knocks last season, and their team batting average finished at .234. The Rangers accrued 245 two-baggers as a squad and hit 175 baseballs out of the park. They had a total of 684 runs scored while having a team OBP of .302. As a unit, the Texas Rangers notched 4.2 runs per game, which had them sitting at 22nd in the league.

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They had a K/BB ratio of 2.90 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.18. Rangers pitchers allowed 172 long balls and 605 total runs (1st in MLB). Texas gave up 1,235 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 557 earned runs. The Rangers had an earned run average of 3.47 last year (1st in baseball), and the staff rung up 1,344 batters. They walked 463 players from the other team and their FIP was 3.89 as a team for the prior year.

Rangers pitchers came into the game with runners on 184 times as well as having 180 contests in high leverage situations. The bullpen had 80 holds during the previous year (23rd in baseball). The Rangers bullpen earned a save rate of 56.1% and stepped onto the hill in 151 save situations. They compiled 37 saves last season and missed out on 29 out of their 66 chances to get a save. The bullpen inherited 260 runners in the previous season with 28.1% of those players crossed home plate. The Rangers dispatched 523 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of last year.

The Texas Rangers earned 4,329 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,364 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .991 which had them ranked 1st in MLB, and accumulated 122 double plays. The Rangers converted 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,987 innings on the field, which ranked them 1st in professional baseball.

Gore has thrown 531 frames and has earned 589 K's during his pro baseball career. Gore (26-41 career record) holds a FIP of 4.14 and he has gone up against 2,302 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.20 (248 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.404. He has given up 523 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 223 free passes.

Philadelphia had a total of 212 home runs last year to go along with 753 runs batted in. They hit 268 doubles, while walking 528 times and notching 778 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies earned an on-base percentage of .328 and a batting average of .258 for the prior year. The Phillies had a team SLG% of .431 and they were scoring 4.80 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They were called out on strikes on 1,337 occasions (19th in baseball) and tallied 1,426 hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff allowed 648 runs over the course of last season while having an ERA of 3.79 (607 earned runs relinquished). They allowed 177 homers and they gave up 4.05 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Phillies had a team WHIP of 1.234 with a FIP of 3.71 as a unit last year. Their K/BB ratio was 9.20 (1,471 strikeouts vs 435 free passes). They were ranked 19th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,342.

Finishing with 160 save situations, the Phillies recorded 83 holds and also 27 blown saves. Philadelphia called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 74 save opportunities and they came away with 47 saves. Their relievers came in 179 times in high leverage situations and on 106 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers had an inherited score percentage of 31.8% of 151 inherited runners. They were ranked 17th in MLB with a save rate of 63.5%, and they dispatched 506 relievers to the hill last season.

Out of their 12,963 innings played, the Phillies earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies had 105 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in pro baseball). The Phillies recorded 1,383 assists, 62 errors and accumulated 4,321 putouts last season.

In his career, Luzardo has surrendered 628 hits and he has 775 strikeouts in 695 innings pitched. He has given up 324 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.244 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.27 and he has faced 2,904 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Luzardo (41-41 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.19 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-160)

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