September 12, 2015
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
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The Houston Cougars take on the Louisville Cardinals on Saturday at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium. The opening line for this game has Louisville as 11.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 53.5.
The Cougars are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. They are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss.game. The under is 7-2 in the Cougars last 9 games in September and 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is also 5-2 in their last 7 games following a straight up win and 5-2 in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
The Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AAC. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last 4 games in September and 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The under is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss and 20-9-1 in their last 30 home games.
Houston scored 52 points last game on offense. In the passing department, they completed 27 passes on 38 attempts for a 71.1 percent completion percentage. They threw for a total of 355 yards through the air as well. The Cougars finished the game with 272 yards for the night on 44 attempts for an average of 6.2 yards per carry. They also ran 82 plays during their last game and averaged 7.6 yards per play for a total of 627 yards for the game. The Cougars ended up with 27 first downs in the game and they accumlated 59 penalty yards for the game via 9 penalties.
Houston allowed 312 passing yards last game and 24 points in the contest on defense. They gave up 16 completions on 26 attempts for a completion percentage of 61.5. The Cougars gave up 29 rushing yards on 33 carries for a 0.9 average. Houston gave up 341 total yards last game including 5.8 per play. They forced 1 turnover and were flagged for 3 penalties that totaled 15 yards as a unit.
Louisville ended up with 24 points in the game last week on offense. Through the air, they completed 17 passes last game on 33 attempts for a 51.5 percent completion percentage. They totaled 167 yards through the air for the game. The Cardinals rushed for a total of 238 yards in their last game on 48 attempts for an average of 5 yards per carry. They also ran 81 plays last game and had 5 yards per play for a total of 405 yards in that game. The Cardinals totaled 27 first downs and they had 35 penalty yards in the game via 5 penalties.
Louisville allowed 137 passing yards last game and 31 points in the matchup. They gave up 11 completions on 21 attempts for a completion percentage of 52.4. The Cardinals gave up 190 rushing yards on 41 carries for a total of 4.6 yards. Louisville gave up 327 total yards last game including an average of 5.3 per play. They forced 3 turnovers and 8 penalties for 80 yards as a unit.
Houston Betting Trends
Houston is 1-0-0 against the over/under so far this season
Houston has an ATS record of 0-1-0 this season
Louisville Betting Trends
Louisville is 1-0-0 against the over/under so far this season
Louisville has an ATS record of 1-0-0 this season
Injuries to Watch
09/06/15 TE Hayden Daniels Knee "?" Saturday vs. Louisville
09/06/15 OL Josh Thomas Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Louisville
09/06/15 Backup RB Kaliq Kokuma Foot "?" Saturday vs. Louisville
09/08/15 QB Lamar Jackson None expected to start Saturday vs. Houston U
09/07/15 TE Cole Hikutini Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Houston U
09/07/15 WR Emonee Spence Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Houston U
09/07/15 WR James Quick Ankle is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Houston U
09/07/15 QB Will Gardner Ribs "?" Saturday vs. Houston U
09/06/15 WR Alphonso Carter Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Houston U
09/06/15 WR Jamari Staples Knee "?" Saturday vs. Houston U
09/06/15 DT Johnny Richardson Knee "?" Saturday vs. Houston U
Tony's Pick: Take Louisville
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