Arkansas State vs Louisiana Monroe Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 11/2/2019
Saturday, November 2, 2019
Malone Stadium is the site where Caleb Evans and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks will play the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Saturday. Arkansas State opens this matchup as 2-point favorites. The Red Wolves are 3-5-0 ATS and 4-4-0 when betting on the total. The Warhawks are 3-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-5-0 against the spread.
The last time they took the field, the Arkansas State Red Wolves played the Texas State Bobcats and earned the victory by a score of 38-14. Marcel Murray led the team in rushing for that game. He tore off a long run of 17 yards and he tallied 2 touchdowns for the contest. He rushed for a total of 114 yards via 22 carries which gave him an average of 5.2 yards per carry. Omar Bayless was the receiving yardage leader by earning 77 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 11.0 yards per reception for that game. Leading the way at QB for the Red Wolves was Layne Hatcher who went 18/28 with 158 yards passing and tossed 2 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Red Wolves rushed the ball a total of 53 times and earned 206 yards giving them an average of 3.9 yards per carry. For the game, the Red Wolves got 21 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 45 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they ran 81 plays which added up to 364 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Arkansas State gave up 15 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 146 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. On the ground, the Red Wolves gave up 81 yards on 24 attempts which is an average of 3.4 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded a total of 227 yards and earned 3 turnovers.
The Red Wolves head into this game 4-4 for 2019. For total yards, they rank 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference and 38th in college football with 3,422 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 32.5 points per game, putting them 46th in college football. As a team, they have an average of 132.3 rushing yards per contest which is 9th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Red Wolves have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 35.4 points per contest ranking them 9th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Red Wolves have allowed 2,364 yards. Teams are completing 61.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.6 yards per try. In regard to rushing yards, Arkansas State is giving up 214.3 yards per contest putting them 7th in the conference and 117th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.2 yards per carry ranking them 8th in the Sun Belt Conference and 115th in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,714 rushing yards through 8 games.
The last time they took the field, the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks took on the Appalachian State Mountaineers and took the defeat by a score of 52-7. Josh Johnson paced the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 18 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 77 yards on 13 carries which had him averaging 5.9 yards per carry. Zach Jackson led the team in receiving yardage by earning 33 yards on 2 receptions. He had an average of 16.5 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Warhawks was Caleb Evans who went 9/19 with 75 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He tossed 1 pick on the day. The Warhawks ran the ball a total of 29 times and added 111 yards which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per rush. For the game, they ran 56 plays for a total of 213 yards. For the game, the Warhawks got 9 1st downs and they had 9 penalties for 66 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. In terms of defense, Louisiana Monroe allowed 19 catches on 32 attempts for a total of 270 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.4%. On the ground, the Warhawks allowed 302 yards on 52 runs which gave them an average of 5.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed. On the day, they gave up 572 yards and earned 2 turnovers.
The Warhawks come into this game with a record of 3-4. Louisiana Monroe has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 205.1 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 29th in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,436 rushing yards through 7 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Warhawks average 427.4 yards per contest overall putting them 45th in college football and 6th in the conference. The Warhawks are conceding 37.3 points per game ranking them 10th in the Sun Belt and 124th in the country. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. They are giving up 252.7 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Warhawks sit in 9th in the Sun Belt Conference. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 261 points in total. In discussing yards rushing, they are giving up 239.3 yards per contest ranking them 127th in Division 1 and 10th in the conference. For 2019, they have conceded 1,675 rushing yards and 16.1 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Warhawks college football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Wolves -2
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