Central Michigan Chippewas vs San Diego State Aztecs Pick, Odds, New Mexico Bowl Prediction 12/21/2019
Game: Central Michigan Chippewas vs San Diego State Aztecs
Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019
New Mexico Bowl
Location: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego State -6.5
Dreamstyle Stadium is the site where Ryan Agnew and the San Diego State Aztecs will take on the Central Michigan Chippewas on Saturday, December 21, 2019 in the New Mexico Bowl. Central Michigan opens this matchup as 6.5-point underdogs. The Chippewas are 9-4-0 ATS and 9-4-0 when betting on the total. The Aztecs are 1-11-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-5-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the Central Michigan Chippewas played the Miami RedHawks and took the loss by a score of 26-21. Running the show from under center for the Chippewas was Quinten Dormady who went 26/41 with 232 yards passing and tossed 1 TD. He threw 1 interception on the day. Tommy Lazzaro paced the team on the ground in the game. He tore off a long run of 21 yards and he notched 2 TD's in the game. He rushed for a total of 48 yards on 6 carries which means he ran for an average of 8.0 yards per run. JaCorey Sullivan led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 64 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 9.1 yards per catch in the game. The Chippewas ran the ball 31 times and racked up a total of 99 yards which had them averaging 3.2 yards per run. Overall, the Chippewas earned 20 first downs and they had 11 penalties for 75 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. Overall, they finished with a total of 74 plays for a total of 355 yards. In terms of defense, Central Michigan allowed 14 completions on 27 throws totaling 196 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.9%. Against the run, the Chippewas allowed 76 yards on 35 attempts which gave them an average of 2.2 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they gave up a total of 272 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover.
The Chippewas come into this game with a record of 8-5 for 2019. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 31.9 points per game, ranking them 44th in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 188.5 rushing yards per game which is 6th in the Mid-American Conference. For total yards, they rank 1st in the conference and 13th in the nation with 5,816 yards. The Chippewas have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, allowing 26.8 points per game ranking them 3rd in the MAC. When it comes to passing yards, the Chippewas have allowed 3,366 yards. Opponents are completing 60% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.4 yards per attempt. When it comes to rushing yards, Central Michigan is allowing 116.7 yards per game which has them at 2nd in the Mid-American Conference and 21st in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rush putting them 2nd in the MAC and 19th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,517 rushing yards through 13 games.
The last time they took the field, the San Diego State Aztecs played the BYU Cougars and won by a score of 13-3. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Aztecs was Carson Baker who went 19/24 with 172 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He walked away with no picks. Chase Jasmin led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 44 yards via 7 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.3 yards per tote. Jesse Matthews was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 78 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 19.5 yards per reception for the game. The Aztecs ended up running the ball 35 times and earned a total of 97 yards giving them an average of 2.8 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, they finished with a total of 60 plays which added up to 269 yards. In the game, the Aztecs earned a total of 12 first downs and they totaled 4 infractions for 30 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In terms of defense, San Diego State allowed 32 completions on 54 attempts for a total of 338 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.3%. In the running game, the Aztecs allowed 78 yards on 27 carries which gave them an average of 2.9 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they allowed a total of 416 yards and earned 3 takeaways.
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The Aztecs step onto the field holding a record of 9-3. San Diego State hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 135.3 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 101st in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,624 rushing yards through 12 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Aztecs average 330.1 yards per contest overall putting them 116th in D-1 and 12th in the conference. The Aztecs are conceding 12.8 points per contest ranking them 1st in the Mountain West and 4th in college football. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in D-1. They are giving up 216.3 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Aztecs currently sit at 4th in the MWC. In regard to points given up, they have allowed 154 total points. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are conceding 72.4 yards per game ranking them 2nd in D-1 and 1st in the Mountain West. This season, they have conceded a total of 869 rushing yards and 7.2 rushing touchdowns.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Aztecs -6.5 and over the total points
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