Fresno State vs San Diego State NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 11/15/2019
Friday, November 15, 2019
Jorge Reyna and the Fresno State Bulldogs travel to SDCCU Stadium on Friday where they'll take on the San Diego State Aztecs. Fresno State opens this game as 2.5-point dogs. The Bulldogs are 3-5-1 ATS and 7-2-0 when betting on the total. The Aztecs are 1-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs went up against the Utah State Aggies and lost 37-35. Ronnie Rivers paced the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 40 yards and he tallied 3 touchdowns for the contest. He scurried for 102 yards via 17 carries which gave him an average of 6.0 yards per tote. Jalen Cropper led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 87 yards on 3 receptions. He had an average of 29.0 yards per reception during the game. Running the show from under center for the Bulldogs was Jorge Reyna who went 16/20 with 263 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Bulldogs rushed the ball a total of 36 times and earned 156 yards which earned them an average of 4.3 yards per run. On the day, they totaled 56 plays for 419 yards. In the game, the Bulldogs earned 16 first downs and they had 11 infractions for 108 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. When discussing the defense, Fresno State allowed 30 catches on 39 attempts totaling 388 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.9%. In the running game, the Bulldogs allowed 137 yards on 34 runs which is an average of 4.0 yards per attempt allowed. For this contest, they gave up a total of 525 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover.
The Bulldogs head into this matchup 4-5 this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 34.3 points per game, ranking them 31st in the country. As a team, they have an average of 179.3 yards on the ground per contest which is 4th in the Mountain West. For total yardage, they currently sit at 7th in the conference and 67th in the country with 3,742 yards. The Bulldogs have one of the worst defenses in college football, allowing 32.4 points per game ranking them 7th in the MWC. In regard to yards on the ground, Fresno State is allowing 162.1 yards per game ranking them 7th in the MWC and 68th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per carry which has them at 7th in the MWC and 74th in D-1 overall. In total, they have allowed 1,459 rushing yards through 9 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulldogs have allowed 2,128 yards. Opponents are completing 59.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.3 yards per attempt.
In their last outing, the San Diego State Aztecs played the Nevada Wolf Pack and ended up taking the loss by a score of 17-13. Chance Bell paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 10 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown in the game. He rushed for a total of 40 yards by way of 11 carries which meant he was running for 3.6 yards per tote. Kobe Smith was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 40 yards on 5 catches. He averaged 8.0 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Aztecs was Ryan Agnew who went 18/35 with 196 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He threw 1 pick during the game. The Aztecs ended up rushing 39 times and racked up a total of 113 yards giving them an average of 2.9 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, they ran 74 plays for a total of 309 yards. Overall, the Aztecs earned 18 1st downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 79 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. On the defensive side of the ball, San Diego State gave up 20 completions on 27 tries totaling 197 yards, and a completion percentage of 74.1%. Against the run, the Aztecs gave up 29 yards on 28 tries which gave them an average of 1.0 yards per run allowed. Overall, they allowed a total of 226 yards and forced 1 takeaway.
The Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 7-2. In discussing the offensive production, the Aztecs have one of the worst offenses in the country. San Diego State is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 135.9 rushing yards per game, ranking them 98th in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,223 yards rushing through 9 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Aztecs average 293.3 yards per contest overall ranking them 125th in the nation and 12th in the Mountain West. The Aztecs are conceding 14.4 points per game which puts them at 1st in the Mountain West and 8th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the best groups in Division 1. They are conceding 189.9 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Aztecs sit in 2nd in the conference. In terms of points given up, they have given up 130 total points. In terms of rushing yards, they are allowing 62.2 yards per contest ranking them 2nd in Division 1 and 1st in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have given up 560 yards on the ground and 3.6 rushing touchdowns.
Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Aztecs college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +2.5
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