Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Expert College Football Picks 11/23/2019
Game: Georgia Southern Eagles vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019
Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR
Odds/Point Spread: Arkansas State -2.5
Shai Werts and the Georgia Southern Eagles travel to Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Arkansas State opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The Eagles are 4-6-0 ATS and 7-3-0 when betting on the total. The Red Wolves are 5-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-6-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the Georgia Southern Eagles faced the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and ended up getting the victory by a score of 51-29. J.D. King paced the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 30 yards and he added 1 TD during the game. He scurried for 102 yards on 16 carries which gave him an average of 6.4 yards per carry. Darion Anderson led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 33 yards on 1 reception. He earned an average of 33.0 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Eagles was Shai Werts who went 5/10 with 80 yards through the air and threw 1 TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Eagles rushed the ball a total of 52 times and generated 245 yards which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per rush. Overall, they finished with a total of 62 plays for a total of 325 yards. In the game, the Eagles earned 19 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 25 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Georgia Southern allowed 21 catches on 36 throws for a total of 285 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. In the running game, the Eagles allowed 85 yards on 31 tries which is an average of 2.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they conceded 370 yards and forced 3 takeaways.
The Eagles step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 this year. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 27.9 points per contest, putting them 73rd in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 255.2 yards on the ground per game which is 3rd in the conference. For total yardage, they rank 10th in the Sun Belt and 120th in Division 1 with 3,170 yards. The Eagles have one of the average defenses in the nation, giving up 29.5 points per game ranking them 3rd in the Sun Belt. When talking about yards rushing, Georgia Southern is giving up 144.6 yards per contest ranking them 1st in the Sun Belt and 52nd in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4 yards per carry which has them at 2nd in the Sun Belt and 55th in the nation overall. In total, they have conceded 1,446 rushing yards through 10 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Eagles have allowed 618 yards. Teams are completing 59.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.4 yards per try.
The last time they took the field, the Arkansas State Red Wolves played the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and earned the win by a score of 28-27. Running the show from under center for the Red Wolves was Layne Hatcher who went 24/35 with 297 yards through the air and tossed 3 TD's. He tossed 2 picks on the day. Marcel Murray paced the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 14 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for 59 yards on 12 carries which had him averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Omar Bayless led the team in receiving yardage by earning 94 yards on 7 receptions. He averaged 13.4 yards per catch for that contest. The Red Wolves ended up rushing 22 times and racked up a total of 71 yards which had them averaging 3.2 yards per attempt. In all, they finished with a total of 57 plays for a total of 368 yards. For the game, the Red Wolves totaled 15 first downs and they had a total of 14 penalties for 108 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. In terms of defense, Arkansas State gave up 17 completions on 32 tries for a total of 179 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.1%. On the ground, the Red Wolves gave up 233 yards on 58 tries which gave them an average of 4.0 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they allowed 412 yards and forced 3 turnovers.
The Red Wolves come into this game with a record of 6-4. Arkansas State hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 133.6 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 102nd in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,336 yards rushing through 10 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Red Wolves average 430.4 yards per contest overall which has them at 46th in the nation and 5th in the Sun Belt. The Red Wolves are giving up 35.1 points per contest ranking them 8th in the Sun Belt and 117th in the country. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in Division 1. They are giving up 262.7 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Red Wolves are ranked 10th in the Sun Belt Conference. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 351 points in total. When it comes to yards rushing, they are giving up 218 yards per contest which puts them at 122nd in Division 1 and 9th in the conference. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 2,180 yards rushing and 29 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Eagles/Red Wolves NCAA football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Wolves -2.5
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