Mississippi State vs Arkansas NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 11/2/2019
Saturday, November 2, 2019
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
Garrett Shrader and the Mississippi State Bulldogs go to Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Mississippi State opens this game as 7-point favorites. The Bulldogs are 2-6-0 ATS and 5-3-0 when betting on the total. The Razorbacks are 2-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-6-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs went up against the Texas A&M Aggies and lost 49-30. Kylin Hill led the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 39 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for 150 yards on 21 carries which meant he was running for 7.1 yards per carry. Stephen Guidry led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 59 yards on 2 receptions. He earned an average of 29.5 yards per catch in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Bulldogs was Garrett Shrader who went 13/30 with 194 yards passing and threw 3 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception on the day. The Bulldogs rushed the ball a total of 38 times and racked up 239 yards earning them an average of 6.3 yards per rush. On the day, they ran 68 plays which added up to 433 yards. On the day, the Bulldogs racked up a total of 22 first downs and they had 5 infractions for 25 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the defensive side of the ball, Mississippi State conceded 17 completions on 23 throws totaling 234 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.9%. On the day, they conceded 441 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. On the ground, the Bulldogs conceded 207 yards on 39 runs which is an average of 5.3 yards per run allowed.
The Bulldogs head into this game 3-5 for 2019. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 25.5 points per contest, putting them 91st in college football. As a unit, they are averaging 186.6 yards on the ground per contest which is 5th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yardage, they rank 10th in the Southeastern Conference and 77th in college football with 3,030 yards. The Bulldogs have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, allowing 31 points per game putting them 12th in the Southeastern Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Bulldogs have conceded 1,537 yards. Teams are completing 61.7% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.7 yards per attempt. In discussing rushing yards, Mississippi State is allowing 159.4 yards per game putting them 11th in the SEC and 65th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.6 yards per rush which has them at 10th in the conference and 90th in college football overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,275 rushing yards through 8 games.
In their last outing, the Arkansas Razorbacks played the Alabama Crimson Tide and were defeated 48-7. Rakeem Boyd led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 12 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 50 yards on 12 carries which meant he was running for 4.2 yards per run. Rakeem Boyd led the team in receiving yardage by earning 55 yards on 4 catches. He averaged 13.8 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Razorbacks was Nick Starkel who went 5/19 with 58 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He tossed 3 interceptions during the game. The Razorbacks ended up running the ball 30 times and generated 106 yards earning them an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Razorbacks earned a total of 13 first downs and they had 0 infractions for 0 yards which means they were extremely disciplined in this game. For the game, they finished with a total of 56 plays for 213 yards. When discussing the defense, Arkansas gave up 24 completions on 30 throws totaling 280 yards, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. Against the run, the Razorbacks gave up 179 yards on 38 runs which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they gave up 459 yards but weren't able to foce a turnover.
The Razorbacks come into this matchup with a record of 2-6. In discussing the offensive production, the Razorbacks have one of the middle tier offenses in the country. Arkansas needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 131.4 rushing yards per game, putting them 105th in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,051 yards rushing through 8 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Razorbacks average 363.9 yards per game overall which has them at 97th in the country and 11th in the SEC. The Razorbacks are giving up 32.9 points per contest which puts them at 13th in the conference and 107th in the country. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 263 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are giving up 191.9 yards per contest which puts them at 100th in Division 1 and 13th in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have conceded 1,535 yards rushing and 14.4 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in D-1. They are allowing 227.5 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Razorbacks are ranked 9th in the Southeastern Conference.
Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Razorbacks college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -7
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