NC State at Florida State Expert College Football Picks 9/28/2019
Saturday, September 28, 2019
Doak Campbell Stadium
Alex Hornibrook and the Florida State Seminoles host the NC State Wolfpack at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2019. Florida State opens this matchup as 5.5-point favorites. The Wolfpack are 1-3-0 ATS and 1-3-0 when betting on the total. The Seminoles are 3-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-1 against the spread.
Key NC State Wolfpack Injuries
09/02/19 WR C.J. Riley ACL is out for season
Key Florida State Seminoles Injuries
09/22/19 RB Anthony Grant Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs NC State
09/22/19 QB James Blackman Knee left last game, is questionable Saturday vs NC State
09/22/19 OL Jauan Williams Disciplinary is questionable Saturday vs NC State
09/22/19 DE Joshua Kaindoh Leg is questionable Saturday vs NC State
09/13/19 P Logan Tyler Suspension is out indefinitely
In their last game, the NC State Wolfpack went up against the Ball State Cardinals and ended up getting the win by a score of 34-23. Ricky Person Jr. led the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 20 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the contest. He scurried for 71 yards by way of 17 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.2 yards per run. Thayer Thomas was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 51 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 12.8 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wolfpack was Matthew McKay who went 17/30 with 175 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He gave away 1 pick during the game. The NC State Wolfpack ran the ball 41 times and racked up 204 yards giving them an average of 5.0 yards per carry. In the game, they totaled 75 plays which added up to 389 yards. For the game, the Wolfpack racked up 23 1st downs and they had a total of 9 penalties for 62 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. On the defensive side of the ball, NC State conceded 35 completions on 57 attempts totaling 333 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.4%. Against the run, the Wolfpack conceded 84 yards on 30 carries which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they gave up a total of 417 yards and earned 1 takeaway.
The Wolfpack head into this game 3-1 this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 34 points per contest, which has them at 44th in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 212 rushing yards per contest which is 4th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. For total yardage, they sit in 4th in the conference and 25th in Division 1 with 1,803 yards. The Wolfpack have one of the top tier defenses in D-1, allowing 18.3 points per contest which has them at 4th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Wolfpack have conceded 955 yards. Opponents are completing 60.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. In discussing yards rushing, NC State is giving up 76.5 yards per contest putting them 3rd in the conference and 14th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.9 yards per carry ranking them 4th in the conference and 21st in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 306 rushing yards through 4 contests.
In their last game, the Florida State Seminoles went up against the Louisville Cardinals and ended up getting the victory by a score of 35-24. Cam Akers paced the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 18 yards and he added 3 touchdowns during the game. He ran for a total of 112 yards by way of 29 carries which had him averaging 3.9 yards per carry. Keyshawn Helton led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 96 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 13.7 yards per reception for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Seminoles was Alex Hornibrook who went 15/20 with 255 yards passing and threw 2 touchdowns. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Florida State Seminoles ended up rushing 41 times and racked up a total of 140 yards giving them an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Seminoles racked up 26 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 36 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the day, they totaled 75 plays which gave them a total of 522 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Florida State gave up 16 catches on 28 throws for a total of 286 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. For this contest, they allowed a total of 410 yards and forced 2 takeaways. Against the run, the Seminoles gave up 124 yards on 47 carries which means they allowed 2.6 yards per run allowed.
The Seminoles step onto the field holding a record of 2-2. Florida State hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 138.3 rushing yards per game, putting them 84th in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 553 yards rushing through 4 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Seminoles average 444.5 yards per contest overall putting them 45th in the country and 5th in the conference. The Seminoles are allowing 33.8 points per game ranking them 13th in the ACC and 107th in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the least effective groups in the country. They are giving up 307.3 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Seminoles currently sit at 13th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. In discussing points given up, they have given up 135 points in total. In regard to yards rushing, they are giving up 159 yards per contest ranking them 83rd in college football and 9th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. For this year, they have allowed 636 yards on the ground and 9.2 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Wolfpack/Seminoles NCAA football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Seminoles -5.5
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