Oklahoma vs Baylor Expert College Football Picks 12/7/2019
Game: Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears
Date: Saturday, December 7, 2019
Big 12 Championship
Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX
Odds/Point Spread: Baylor +10
Jalen Hurts and the Oklahoma Sooners head to AT&T Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma opens this contest as 10-point favorites. The Sooners are 5-7-0 ATS and 5-6-1 when betting on the total. The Bears are 6-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 8-4-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the Oklahoma Sooners played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and won 34-16. Kennedy Brooks paced the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 18 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He rushed for a total of 160 yards via 22 carries which meant he was running for 7.3 yards per run. CeeDee Lamb led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 36 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 9.0 yards per reception for that game. Running the show from under center for the Sooners was Jalen Hurts who went 13/16 with 163 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He ended the game without an interception. The Sooners ran the ball a total of 44 times and racked up a total of 283 yards giving them an average of 6.4 yards per attempt. For the game, they ran 61 plays for 450 yards. For the contest, the Sooners totaled 22 first downs and they had a total of 9 penalties for 95 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. When discussing the defense, Oklahoma conceded 22 catches on 32 throws totaling 207 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.8%. On the ground, the Sooners conceded 128 yards on 29 attempts which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per run allowed. On the day, they allowed a total of 335 yards and earned 2 takeaways.
The Sooners step onto the field holding a record of 11-1 for 2019. For total yards, they are currently ranked 1st in the Big 12 and 1st in the nation with 6,774 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 44.3 points per contest, putting them 5th in the nation. As a unit, they have an average of 260.2 rushing yards per game which is 1st in the Big 12. The Sooners have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, giving up 24.7 points per game putting them 3rd in the conference. In discussing yards on the ground, Oklahoma is giving up 140.9 yards per contest putting them 4th in the Big 12 Conference and 48th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush putting them 6th in the Big 12 and 61st in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 1,691 rushing yards through 12 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Sooners have conceded 3,652 yards. Opponents are completing 60.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.6 yards per try.
The last time they took the field, the Baylor Bears faced the Kansas Jayhawks and earned the victory by a score of 61-6. JaMycal Hasty led the team in rushing for that contest. He had a long run of 24 yards and he notched 3 touchdowns during the game. He ran for 92 yards on 14 carries which meant he averaged 6.6 yards per carry. Tyquan Thornton was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 69 yards on 4 catches. He had an average of 17.3 yards per catch for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Bears was Charlie Brewer who went 13/25 with 182 yards through the air and tossed 1 TD. He tossed 1 interception during the game. The Bears ended up rushing 47 times and racked up 263 yards which had them averaging 5.6 yards per carry. In all, they ran 79 plays which gave them a total of 506 yards. In the game, the Bears totaled 29 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 26 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the defensive side of the ball, Baylor allowed 16 catches on 31 attempts totaling 116 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.6%. On the day, they gave up a total of 258 yards and earned 6 turnovers. In the running game, the Bears allowed 142 yards on 35 carries which gave them an average of 4.1 yards per attempt allowed.
The Bears head into this game 11-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Bears have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Baylor has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 186.1 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 41st in college football. As a team, they have a total of 2,233 yards rushing through 12 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Bears average 445 yards per contest overall putting them 33rd in D-1 and 6th in the Big 12. The Bears are conceding 18.4 points per game which puts them at 1st in the Big 12 and 13th in the country. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in Division 1. They are allowing 208.8 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bears are ranked 3rd in the Big 12. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 221 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are conceding 142.1 yards per contest ranking them 49th in D-1 and 5th in the Big 12. This season, they have conceded 1,705 yards rushing and 13.2 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Sooners/Bears college football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Bears +10
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