West Virginia vs TCU Expert College Football Picks 11/29/2019
Game: West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs
Date: Friday, November 29, 2019
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX
Odds/Point Spread: TCU -12.5
Jarret Doege and the West Virginia Mountaineers are headed to Amon G. Carter Stadium on Friday where they'll meet the TCU Horned Frogs. The odds on this matchup have TCU as 12.5-point favorites. The Mountaineers are 4-5-2 ATS and 4-7-0 when betting on the total. The Horned Frogs are 7-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-7-0 against the spread.
The last time they took the field, the West Virginia Mountaineers played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and took the loss by a score of 20-13. Leddie Brown led the team in rushing during the game. He had a long run of 14 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 31 yards via 13 carries which means he ran for an average of 2.4 yards per carry. George Campbell was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 92 yards on 5 receptions. He earned an average of 18.4 yards per reception during the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Mountaineers was Jarret Doege who went 28/38 with 307 yards passing and completed 1 TD. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Mountaineers ran the ball 22 times and racked up a total of 26 yards which earned them an average of 1.2 yards per run. For the contest, the Mountaineers totaled 18 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 40 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 60 plays for 333 yards. In terms of defense, West Virginia gave up 22 catches on 29 tries totaling 196 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.9%. Overall, they gave up a total of 291 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. Against the run, the Mountaineers gave up 95 yards on 34 attempts which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per attempt allowed.
The Mountaineers come into this matchup with a record of 4-7 this season. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 20.6 points per contest, ranking them 113th in the country. As a team, they are averaging 72.3 rushing yards per contest which is 10th in the Big 12 Conference. For total yards, they currently sit at 10th in the Big 12 Conference and 119th in the country with 3,621 yards. The Mountaineers have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, giving up 29.9 points per game ranking them 9th in the Big 12. When it comes to yards through the air, the Mountaineers have allowed 2,826 yards. Teams are completing 65.3% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.2 yards per attempt. When talking about rushing yards, West Virginia is allowing 161.3 yards per game putting them 7th in the Big 12 Conference and 70th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per carry which has them at 3rd in the Big 12 and 39th in D-1 overall. In total, they have conceded 1,774 yards rushing through 11 games.
In their last game, the TCU Horned Frogs took on the Oklahoma Sooners and lost 28-24. Max Duggan led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 62 yards and he tallied 1 TD for the game. He scurried for 92 yards by way of 12 carries which had him averaging 7.7 yards per carry. Te'Vailance Hunt led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 34 yards on 3 receptions. He notched an average of 11.3 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Horned Frogs was Max Duggan who went 7/21 with 65 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He tossed 1 interception during the game. The Horned Frogs ran the ball 24 times and racked up a total of 139 yards which earned them an average of 5.8 yards per rushing attempt. In all, they totaled 45 plays which added up to 204 yards. On the day, the Horned Frogs racked up 11 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 25 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, TCU allowed 11 completions on 21 tries totaling 145 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.4%. For this contest, they conceded 511 yards and forced 3 takeaways. On the ground, the Horned Frogs allowed 366 yards on 64 tries which gave them an average of 5.7 yards per carry allowed.
The Horned Frogs come into this game with a record of 5-6. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Horned Frogs have one of the best offenses in the nation. TCU has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 208.6 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 29th in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 2,295 yards rushing through 11 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Horned Frogs average 417.7 yards per game overall which has them at 58th in college football and 7th in the Big 12 Conference. The Horned Frogs are allowing 27 points per contest ranking them 6th in the Big 12 and 61st in the country. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 297 total points. When talking about yards rushing, they are giving up 143.5 yards per game which puts them at 48th in college football and 5th in the conference. For 2019, they have given up a total of 1,579 yards rushing and 16.5 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in D-1. They are conceding 203.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Horned Frogs sit in 2nd in the Big 12.
Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Horned Frogs NCAA football game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -12.5
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