NCAA Football Betting Odds: Week 10 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
This week in college football is essentially the calm before the storm. The highest-ranked team in action is No. 4 Clemson as they take on Wofford in a game in which Clemson will barely break a sweat. Other than that, we have a good matchup between No. 6 Florida and No. 8 Georgia happening in Jacksonville. As of writing this, the Bulldogs are 6.5-point favorites . The real meat and potatoes of the college season come next week as we get to finally see No. 1 LSU take on No. 2 Alabama in a matchup that will have major implications on not only the SEC West division, but the College Football Playoff. Both teams are 8-0, and only one team can emerge victoriously. It'll be interesting to see what the committee does to either of these two teams should they both run the table after this game. Can the SEC get two teams in the CFP? What about No. 3 Ohio State? Will the benefit and move up because of an LSU/Alabama loss? What about Oregon lurking at No. 7? It'll all be answered next week, and I'm as excited as anyone to find out what's going to happen.
Here are notes for some of Saturday's games around the country, in no particular order.
No. 14 Michigan Wolverines @ Maryland Terrapins (-21, 55.5): For all the negative talk about Jim Harbaugh and the fact he's done very little for this Wolverine program, the sole fact that they destroyed No. 8 Notre Dame last week is impressive enough. This line opened up as Wolverines -17 but has quickly (and rightfully) been bet up to -21, with the Wolverines seeing 92 percent of the ATS money and 95 percent of the money overall. Big Blue is on a bye week next week so there won't be a look ahead for them, and Maryland simply comes into this game loser of three straight despite a 3-2 start. If you're a Maryland football fan, I suggest finding something else to do with your time in November as the Terps face Michigan, then go to Ohio State, then home vs Nebraska and then at Michigan State. That has 0-4 written all over it. In terms of this game, the total is relatively high for a Michigan game as it sits at 55.5 - a shade below what it opened at (57.5). However, Michigan may be able to cover this total themselves going against a Terrapins defense that has given up 34+ points in three straight losses.
Virginia Cavaliers @ North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5, 47): This game opened up at a PK and has quickly been bet in the favor of the Tar Heels are they are now laying 2.5 points on their home field. This game will likely come down to the health of Cavaliers quarterback Bryce Perkins, who is listed as questionable with a knee injury he suffered in last week's loss to Louisville. Perkins is the heart of the Cavaliers offense. And should he not be able to go, look for this spread to keep moving in the direction of the home team. North Carolina is looking for two more wins to get Bowl eligible, and this might very well be the most opportune time to pick up a much-needed win. The total has held steady at 47 points. If I were looking to bet this game, you have to be impressed with the way North Carolina handled a good Duke team last week. I believe the line move towards the home team is warranted.
No. 7 Oregon Ducks @ USC Trojans (+4.5, 62): Don't look now, but the Oregon Ducks are slowly making their way up the rankings and have a legitimate shot at the CFP based on their schedule and their ability to run the table. Their lone loss came against a really good Auburn team back in Week 1, and it might be something the committee could overlook. The Ducks went through the month of October with a 4-0 record and put up at least 35 points in three of those games. Now they get to take on a USC team who has shown some resolve by winning two straight against Arizona and Colorado. Because of that, this line has been bet down from Oregon -7 to Oregon -4.5. I don't believe that drop is warranted as USC is a pushover defensively. And given time to make plays, the Oregon offense is one of the best in the country and putting up points. The total has held steady at 62.
Miami Hurricanes @ Florida State Seminoles (-3, 49): What a difference a week makes. After being completely written off before the Pittsburgh game, the Hurricanes went into Heinz Field and came away with a hard-fought 16-12 win over a good Pittsburgh team. Because of that, they can now set their sights on winning two of their remaining four games to get bowl eligible. Furthermore, because of that big win, this point spread has taken a dip in favor of the Hurricanes as they opened up as 6.5-point underdogs, but the betting public has bet them down to a three-point dog. The Seminoles are also in the same boat as the Hurricanes as they picked up a much-needed win last week over Syracuse to push their record to 4-4. They have one extremely winnable game left on the docket as they host Alabama State on Nov. 16. Can they find another win against Miami, Boston College or at Florida to get to the highly important six-win mark? Only time will tell. The total of this game has dropped a half-point from 50 to 49.5, and that has more to do with the inconsistency of the Miami QB's than anything else.
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