NCAA Football Betting Odds: Week 7 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
Week 7 may just be one of the biggest College Football Weeks on the calendar outside of Conference title games and the College Football Playoff. This week gives us two matchups between Top 11 teams, with No. 7 Florida taking on No. 5 LSU in Death Valley and No.11 Texas takes on No.6 Oklahoma in the Red River Showdown . Both of these games will have a direct impact on how the CFP shapes out given the fact that both LSU and Oklahoma are seen as the only two teams who aren't Clemson or Alabama that have a legitimate shot at getting into the mix.
Don't get me wrong, I don't mind Ohio State from a neutral perspective, but I'm getting sick of them sneaking into the CFP every single year because they are one of the biggest draws in all of college football. Let's give another two big teams a chance to fight it out for a National Title. If Ohio State goes undefeated and earns their spot, so be it, but an undefeated LSU or Oklahoma squad should have the inside track considering the competition they've faced compared to the Buckeyes. But I digress. We'll debate CFP rankings in a few weeks when the first set are released.
Here are notes for some of Saturday's games around the country, in no particular order.
Iowa State Cyclones @ West Virginia Mountaineers (+10, 53 ): the Iowa State Cyclones are what you'd call a good 3-2. They've beaten good teams, with their only losses coming by one point to a ranked Iowa squad and a decent Baylor squad. There's much to like about the Cyclones, but the same can't be said for the Mountaineers. West Virginia is 3-2 on the heels of a beating up on bad teams like Kansas, N.C State, and James Madison. There isn't much to like about the Mountaineers, and it wouldn't surprise me to see them on the outside of the postseason looking in. This game opened up at -7.5 but has since been bet up in favor of the Cyclones all the way to 10.5 . The total has also risen from 51.5 to 53. And with the lack of resistance the Mountaineers have shown on defense, I wouldn't be shocked to see the number climb higher.
Louisville Cardinals @ No. 19 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-6.5, 65): Don't look now, but the Demon Deacons are 5-0 and en route (it would seem) to a potential ACC elimination game with Clemson on November 16. The Demon Deacons have played extremely good football of late and now enter this week's game with Louisville off a bye as just about a touchdown favorite. This number has been bet up down from its opening of -9, but I don't believe there is any reason to trust the Cardinals on the road. Wake Forest easily dominated this team last year by a 56-35 score, and we expect more of the same in this spot. The total has risen a half-point from 64.5 to 65. And much like everyone else, I expect a bunch of points to be scored in this one. If there is one knock against Wake Forest, it's that they've yet to win a game after a bye week (0-6) under Dave Clawson.
Washington Huskies @ Arizona Wildcats (+6.5, 59): It's been a long fall from grace for the Huskies, who are just a few years removed from their College Football Playoff appearance. This season, the Huskies have had a rough go of it, losing to unranked California and an unranked Stanford team on the road just last week. It's likely that very reason that the point spread has been bet down to -6.5 from the opening line of -9.5. That or the fact that Arizona is quietly having themselves a great season, as outside of their season-opening loss vs Hawaii, they've reeled off four straight wins and have looked explosive in doing so. The total of this game has been surprisingly bet down from 61.5 to 59. Most people think of these two teams has offensive juggernauts, but that simply isn't the case anymore this season.
San Jose State Spartans @ Nevada Wolf Pack (-2.5, 59): The San Jose State Spartans are usually among the worst teams in college football, but they've had a respectable year so far with wins against Northern Colorado, Arkansas, and New Mexico. Now they get to take on a Nevada team who has been a bit erratic at times this season. They followed up an underdog win against Purdue by getting killed vs Oregon. And then just when you think they have it figured out (two straight wins), they get blown out at home (54-3) by Hawaii. This game opened up with the Wolf Pack laying 7.5 points, but it's been bet down to just 2.5, and I don't blame the line movement. Nevada can't be trusted at this point. However, on paper, they do have the better and more talented roster. Could this be one of those games that Nevada wins in a blowout just to prove to the world they can in fact still play football? Probably, but I wouldn't spend three hours watching it. The total has stayed put at 59 for the entire week, but I like the under in this game.
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