Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/5/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 5, 2022

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-12.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

Davis Wade Stadium is where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-3) will take on the Auburn Tigers (3-5) on Saturday. Mississippi State opens this contest as 12.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 52.

The Auburn Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 3-5 this year. In their last matchup, the Tigers took on the Arkansas Razorbacks and took a loss by a final of 41-27. Robby Ashford connected on 24/33 with 285 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 155.3 and finished the game with no picks. Robby Ashford led the offense in rushing for the Tigers with 19 totes for 87 yds (4.6 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 71 plays which totaled 468 yds. The Auburn Tigers ended up running the ball 38 different times and amassed 183 yards, which earned them an average of 4.8 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Tigers conceded 286 yards on 48 attempts, which averages out to 6.0 yards per run allowed. Auburn relinquished 16 completions on 24 attempts for 234 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Auburn Tigers are averaging 22.9 points per contest. As a team they're maintaining an average of 171.8 yards in the run game which is 50th in the nation. The Tigers have tallied 3,112 yards in total for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Auburn has totaled 6 touchdowns through the air and 16 rushing touchdowns. Auburn has recorded 146 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 53 infractions for 434 yds. They have turned the football over 16 different times.

The Tigers sit in 94th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 29.9 PPG. The opposition is running for 5.0 yards per rush on the ground and 214.6 rushing yards per contest on the season. In total, they have allowed 1,717 running yards through 8 games. In terms of passing yards, the Tigers are allowing 1,540 yds which has them sitting in 23rd in college football. They are giving up 192.5 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.3%. For the year, they are giving up 407.1 yards/contest which puts them 95th in D-1. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns through the air as well as 23 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Bulldogs head into this game 5-3 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 30-6 against the Alabama Crimson Tide. Will Rogers ended the game with 231 yds on 30/60 passing while his quarterback rate was 82.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 3.9. Jo'quavious Marks ran the football 13 times for 53 yds, finishing the game with 4.1 yards per attempt for Mississippi State. Mississippi State ran the ball for 2.4 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 62 yards on 26 carries. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 293 yards while running 87 plays (3.4 yards per play). The Bulldogs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 59.5%, surrendering 261 yards on 22 out of 37 passing. Mississippi State relinquished 27 rushing attempts for 29 yds (1.1 yds per carry).

When looking at their ability to score points, the Bulldogs are sitting 52nd in the nation maintaining an average of 31.8 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Bulldogs currently have a total of 2,573 passing yards as well as holding an average of 321.6 passing yards per game, putting them at 10th in Division 1. The Mississippi State Bulldogs maintain an average of 410.8 yards per contest, which ranks them 61st in D-1. The Mississippi State offense has totaled 597 penalty yards on 58 infractions, which has them ranked 31st in D-1 in terms of making mistakes.

Mississippi State has allowed a total of 1,099 yards on the ground (137.4 yards per outing) as well as 12 touchdowns on the ground so far this year. They have allowed 10 touchdowns from the passing game and 227.1 yards per game, which puts them in 61st in the nation. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 533 plays, which is 44th in the country. The Bulldogs are allowing 22.9 points per game, which has them 48th in Division 1. In total, they have given up 183 points.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers +12.5

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