North Carolina Tar Heels vs Appalachian State Mountaineers Prediction, 9/3/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Appalachian State Mountaineers
Date: Saturday, September 3, 2022
Location: Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, NC
Odds/Point Spread: Mountaineers (+4)
The North Carolina Tar Heels (6-7 last season) are hitting the road to Kidd Brewer Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-4 last year). North Carolina opens this matchup as 4-point favorites. The over/under is 55.5.
The North Carolina Tar Heels wrapped up their year having earned a 6-7 mark. In their last contest, the Tar Heels went up against the South Carolina Gamecocks and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 38-21. Sam Howell finished 12/20 with 205 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 162.6 and ended the contest with no interceptions. British Brooks was the leader on the ground for the Tar Heels with 5 carries for 72 yards (14.4 yards per carry). On the day, they tallied 50 plays which converted into 333 yds. The North Carolina Tar Heels rushed the ball a total of 29 times and amassed 128 yards, which came out to an average of 4.4 yards per tote. Against the run, the Tar Heels conceded 301 yards on 51 tries, which averages out to 5.9 yards per run surrendered. North Carolina allowed 12 pass completions on 15 tries for 242 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.0%.
The Tar Heels racked up 6,091 yards in total for last year. North Carolina compiled 26 touchdowns via the pass and 30 rushing touchdowns. They turned the ball over 14 times. North Carolina accumulated 311 1st downs offensively, and they were called for 95 penalties for 900 yds. As a team they held an average of 212.8 yards on the ground, which ranked them 19th in D-1. Regarding scoring points, the North Carolina Tar Heels averaged 35.2 points per game.
The Tar Heels were ranked 105th in college football regarding team defense, allowing 32.1 points per contest. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt and 180.4 rushing yards per contest last season. In total, they conceded 2,345 rushing yards through 13 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Tar Heels conceded 3,094 yds which had them sitting in 93rd in college football. During their 13 games, they relinquished 238.0 yards per contest through the air as well as surrendering a completion percentage of 60.8%. They yielded 418.4 yards/outing ranking them 94th in college football. They allowed 27 touchdowns via the pass as well as 23 running touchdowns.
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The Mountaineers finished the season holding a 10-4 record. For their last game, the Mountaineers took a defeat with a final score of 59-38 when they played the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Chase Brice (4 touchdowns) finished the game with 317 yards on 15/23 through the air while his QB rating was 229.7. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 13.8. Camerun Peoples carried the ball 13 times for 101 yds, ending the game with 7.8 yds per carry for Appalachian State. The Mountaineers ended up finishing with 609 yds and they ran 78 plays (7.8 yards per play). Appalachian State ended up running for 5.8 yards per attempt, finishing with 251 yards on 43 attempts. Appalachian State allowed 26 rushing attempts for 219 yds (8.4 yards per rush). The Mountaineers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 70.2%, surrendering 422 yards on 33 out of 47 through the air.
When looking at putting points on the board, the Mountaineers were ranked 23rd in college football with a maintained average of 34.5 points per contest. Last year, the Mountaineers had a total of 3,489 yards through the air as well as averaging 249.2 throwing yards per contest, which had them ranked 54th in D-1. The Appalachian State Mountaineers had an average of 441.4 yards/game, which ranked them 30th in the nation. The Appalachian State offense totaled 745 yards of penalties on 85 infractions, which had them ranked 40th in the country in terms of making mistakes.
The Mountaineers conceded 22.1 points per game, ranking them 31st in college football. Appalachian State conceded a total of 1,765 yards via the ground game (126.1 yards per contest) and 18 touchdowns rushing last year. Overall, they gave up 309 total points. They conceded 18 touchdowns via the pass and 222.0 yards/outing, which had them ranked 60th in college football. The Mountaineers defense was on the field for 921 plays, which had them sitting 105th in Division 1.
Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Mountaineers college football game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tar Heels -4
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