SMU Mustangs vs USF Bulls Prediction, 11/12/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: SMU Mustangs vs USF Bulls
Date: Saturday, November 12, 2022
Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Bulls (+17.5)
The USF Bulls (1-8) will go up against the SMU Mustangs (5-4) at Raymond James Stadium on Saturday. SMU is 17.5-point favorites. The over/under is 75.
The SMU Mustangs come into this game with a record of 5-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Mustangs faced the Houston Cougars and walked away with a win by a score of 77-63. Tyler Lavine was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 25 carries for 146 yds (5.8 yds per carry). Tanner Mordecai finished 28/37 with 379 yds passing and 9 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 242 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Against the run, the Mustangs gave up 182 yards on 17 attempts, which is 10.7 yds per rush allowed. SMU gave up 37 completions on 54 tries for 528 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.5%. When the final whistle blew, they had 83 plays for 642 yds. The SMU Mustangs ended up running the ball 46 different times and totaled 263 yards, which had them averaging 5.7 yards per attempt.
When talking about scoring points, the SMU Mustangs are averaging 40.2 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 148.0 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 69th in Division 1. The Mustangs have earned 4,311 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, SMU has earned 28 passing touchdowns and 19 rushing touchdowns. SMU has a total of 221 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 40 infractions for 382 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 different times.
When talking about yards via the pass, the Mustangs are giving up 2,282 yards which puts them in 95th in college football. They have conceded 253.6 yards per game via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 57.8%. In total, they are conceding 453.2 yards/outing putting them 120th in Division 1. They have yielded 19 touchdowns through the air and 19 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 199.7 yards on the ground per game so far this season. For the season, they have allowed 1,797 rushing yards through 9 games. The Mustangs are sitting in 119th in college football regarding team defense, allowing 33.7 points per contest.
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The Bulls head into this game 1-8 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bulls walked away with a loss by a score of 54-28 against the Temple Owls. Katravis Marsh (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 176 yds on 11/22 through the air while his QB rating was 153.1. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0. Brian Battie carried the football 19 times for 129 yds, finishing the game with 6.8 yds per carry for USF. USF ran the ball for 6.5 yds per carry, finishing with 281 yards on 43 carries. The Bulls finished with 471 yds and they ran 70 plays (6.7 yds per play). The Bulls pass defense allowed a completion rate of 75.0%, relinquishing 344 yards on 27 for 36 passing. USF relinquished 30 attempts on the ground for 277 yards (9.2 yards per carry).
The USF Bulls are averaging 374.7 yards per game, which has them sitting 83rd in the nation. The USF offense has racked up 311 yards of penalties on 39 violations, which is 121st in college football in terms of making mistakes. For the season thus far, the Bulls currently have a total of 1,733 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 192.6 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 108th in the country. In relation to their ability to score points, the Bulls are sitting 84th in the nation by scoring 25.8 points per game.
USF has conceded a total of 1,926 rushing yards (214.0 yards per contest) as well as 26 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air and 288.9 yards/contest, which has them sitting 124th in college football. The Bulls defense has participated in 618 plays, which ranks 62nd in D-1. The Bulls are allowing 39.9 points per contest, ranking them 129th in the country. In total, they have conceded 359 total points.
Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Bulls college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Bulls +17.5
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