Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/1/2022 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) will try to defeat the Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) at Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday. Mississippi State is 1-point favorites. The total comes in at 45.5.

The Texas A&M Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies stepped onto the field against the Arkansas Razorbacks and notched a win by a score of 23-21. Devon Achane was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 19 attempts for 159 yards (8.4 yards per carry). Max Johnson went 11/21 with 151 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 128.5 and ended the game with no interceptions. On the ground, the Aggies gave up 244 yds on 54 tries, which is an average of 4.5 yards per run allowed. Texas A&M surrendered 12 pass completions on 19 tries for a total of 171 yds, and a completion rate of 63.2%. For the game, they had 55 plays for 343 yards. The Texas A&M Aggies ran the football 34 different times and tallied 192 yards, which earned them an average of 5.6 yds per attempt.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Texas A&M Aggies are averaging 21.3 points per contest. Offensively they average 127.3 yards rushing giving them a rank of 100th in the country. The Aggies have earned 1,284 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Texas A&M has amassed 5 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Texas A&M has recorded 64 first downs as a team, and they have committed 27 penalties for 235 yards. They have surrendered the ball 4 different times.

The Aggies rank 9th in Division 1 concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 11.8 points per game. They are giving up 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 176.8 rushing yards per contest this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 707 rushing yards through 4 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Aggies are giving up 613 yards which ranks them 14th in Division 1. They have conceded 153.3 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 52.5%. For the year, they are surrendering 330.0 yards/outing which has them ranked 40th in college football. They have yielded 3 touchdowns by air and 2 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 45-14 against the Bowling Green Falcons. Dillon Johnson ran the ball 4 times for 57 yds, ending the game with 14.3 yds per carry for Mississippi State. Will Rogers (6 TDs) ended the contest with 409 yds on 39/50 through the air while his QB rating was 186.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.2. Mississippi State allowed 29 rush attempts for 78 yards (2.7 yards per carry). The Bulldogs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 60.7%, relinquishing 172 yds on 17 for 28 passing. The Bulldogs finished with 465 yards while they ran 65 plays (7.2 yards per play). Mississippi State rushed the football for 4.1 yards per carry, totaling 45 yards on 11 attempts.

In terms of the points being put on the board, the Bulldogs currently sit 36th in the nation by tallying 37.3 points per game. For the season so far, the Bulldogs currently sit at 1,404 passing yards along with holding an average of 351.0 passing yards per game, which is ranked 7th in D-1. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 431.8 yards/game, ranking them 56th in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has totaled 205 penalty yards on 18 violations, which is good for 111th in the country in terms of giving up free yards.

The Bulldogs are conceding 21.3 points per game, which has them 51st in college football. Mississippi State has allowed a total of 454 yards on the ground (113.5 yards per game) in addition to 6 touchdowns via the rush this year. This year, they have conceded 85 pts. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air and 205.8 yards per outing, which has them in 49th in D-1. The Bulldogs defense has taken part in 259 plays, which ranks them 50th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -1

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