Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals
Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
Location: Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, KY
Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (-4)
The Louisville Cardinals (6-1) will try to defeat the Duke Blue Devils (5-2) at Cardinal Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023. Duke opens this matchup as 4-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 47.5.
The Duke Blue Devils come into this matchup with a record of 5-2 for this season. In their last contest, the Blue Devils played against the Florida State Seminoles and ended up losing by a score of 38-20. Riley Leonard connected on 7/16 with 69 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 67.5 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. Jaquez Moore was the leader on the ground for the Blue Devils with 16 totes for 110 yards (6.9 yds per attempt). The Duke Blue Devils ran the ball 35 times and accounted for 197 yards, earning them an average of 5.6 yds per attempt. Overall, they tallied 57 plays for 273 yds. Duke relinquished 27 completions on 36 tries for 268 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Blue Devils conceded 152 yards on 32 tries, which averages out to 4.8 yds per rush allowed.
When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Duke Blue Devils are averaging 29.6 points per game. As a team they are averaging 198.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 19th in the nation. The Blue Devils have racked up 2,601 yards in total over the course of this year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Duke has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns. Duke has compiled 135 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 35 infractions for 258 yds. They have turned the ball over 7 times.
The Blue Devils sit in 6th in D-1 regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 13.9 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 136.4 yards on the ground per game for the year. For the year, they have conceded 955 rushing yards through 7 contests. Regarding passing yards, the Blue Devils have given up 1,256 yards which has them sitting in 13th in D-1. They have conceded 179.4 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 58.2%. For the season, they are granting 315.9 yards per contest which puts them 24th in D-1. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns by air as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground.
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The Cardinals step onto the field holding a record of 6-1 this year. For their last game, the Cardinals went home defeated by a final of 38-21 against the Pittsburgh Panthers. Jack Plummer (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 350 yards on 29/52 passing while his quarterback rating was 111. He threw 2 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.7. Maurice Turner carried the ball 12 times for 81 yards, walking away from the game with 6.8 yards per attempt for Louisville. The Cardinals finished the contest with 444 yards and they ran 85 plays (5.2 yards per play). Louisville rushed for 2.8 yards per carry, totaling 94 yards on 33 attempts. Louisville conceded 33 rush attempts for 88 yds (2.7 yds per rush). The Cardinals secondary allowed a completion percentage of 46.2%, relinquishing 200 yards on 12 for 26 through the air.
In relation to their ability to score points, the Cardinals are ranked 29th in D-1 averaging 34.1 points per game. The Louisville Cardinals have an average of 460.7 yards/game, which has them ranked 18th in college football. The Louisville offense has racked up 344 penalty yards on 45 violations, ranking them 61st in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 8 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 155 1st downs. For the year to this point, the Cardinals have racked up 2,000 passing yards in addition to an average of 285.7 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 27th in the country. They have an average of 175.0 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,225 yards for this season.
Louisville has allowed the opposition a total of 680 yards via the ground game (97.1 yards/game) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have conceded 11 touchdowns through the air in addition to 220.7 yards per outing, ranking them 63rd in Division 1. Their defense has 6 fumbles recovered and 8 picks on the campaign. The Cardinals defense has been on the field for 438 plays, which has them sitting 21st in the country. The Cardinals are giving up 20.6 PPG, ranking them 42nd in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 144 pts.
Who will win tonight's Blue Devils/Cardinals college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Devils +4
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