Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 12/26/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Thursday, December 26, 2024

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-11.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) are headed to Hancock Whitney Stadium on Thursday, December 26, 2024 where they will take on the Bowling Green Falcons (7-5) in the 68 Ventures Bowl. Bowling Green opens this game as 11.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 50.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves step onto the field holding a record of 7-5 for this season. In their last matchup, the Red Wolves stepped onto the field against the Old Dominion Monarchs and ended up losing by a score of 40-32. In the game, they ran 75 plays which gave them a total of 410 yards. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ran the ball 39 different times and amassed 149 yards, earning them an average of 3.8 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Red Wolves conceded 406 yds on 52 tries, which averages out to 7.8 yds per run surrendered. Arkansas State conceded 9 completions on 12 attempts for a total of 143 yds, and a completion rate of 75.0%.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 24.8 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 159.3 yards rushing which ranks them 73rd in college football. The Red Wolves have tallied 4,637 total yards for the season. In terms of scoring, Arkansas State has earned 17 touchdowns through the air and 16 touchdowns on the ground. Arkansas State has compiled 264 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 66 infractions for 622 yds. They have turned the ball over 17 times.

The Red Wolves are sitting in 112th in D-1 in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 32.3 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 5.9 yards per running attempt and 225.5 rushing yards per game so far this season. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 2,706 rushing yards through 12 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Red Wolves have given up 2,818 yds which ranks them 93rd in the country. They are allowing 234.8 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 62.5%. For the season, they are allowing 460.3 yards per game ranking them 129th in the nation. They have yielded 19 touchdowns via the pass as well as 32 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 7-5 this season. For their last game, the Falcons went home defeated by a final of 28-12 against the Miami RedHawks. Bowling Green surrendered 27 rushing attempts for 117 yds (4.3 yds per rush). The Falcons pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 64.3%, relinquishing 255 yds on 18 out of 28 passing. The Falcons ended up finishing with 261 yds while running 66 plays (4.0 yds per play). Bowling Green ran the ball for 2.1 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 51 yds on 24 carries.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Falcons are sitting 73rd in D-1 averaging 26.8 points per game. The Bowling Green Falcons average 368.9 yards per outing, ranking them 87th in D-1. The Bowling Green offense has accrued 539 yards of penalties on 64 violations, which is good for 100th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 6 interceptions while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 236 first downs. For the season so far, the Falcons have racked up 2,695 yards via the pass as well as an average of 224.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 70th in D-1. They average 144.3 run yards per game and have run for 1,732 yards for the year.

Bowling Green has yielded a total of 1,769 rushing yards (147.4 yards per game) and 12 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have given up 16 touchdowns via the pass and 181.5 yards/game, which has them sitting 21st in college football. They have earned 2 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions so far this year. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 750 plays, which is good for 24th in the nation. The Falcons are giving up 20.3 PPG, which has them 22nd in the nation. Overall, they have allowed 244 points.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -11.5

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