Air Force Falcons vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, 11/8/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs San Jose State Spartans

Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025

Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 66.5

The San Jose State Spartans (2-5) will compete against the Air Force Falcons (2-6) at CEFCU Stadium on Saturday, November 8, 2025. San Jose State opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 66.5.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 2-6 for this year. In their last contest, the Falcons played the Army Black Knights and ended up losing by a score of 20-17. Against the run, the Falcons conceded 193 yds on 45 attempts, which is an average of 4.3 yds per rush surrendered. Air Force allowed 5 completions on 9 attempts for a total of 102 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. When all was said and done, they had 68 plays which gave them a total of 335 yards. The Air Force Falcons ended up rushing 50 different times and compiled 174 yds, which had them averaging 3.5 yards per tote.

The Falcons have tallied 3,640 total yards this year. In terms of getting in the endzone, Air Force has compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and 25 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 10 different times. Air Force has accrued 184 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 34 infractions for 304 yds. Offensively they average 270.0 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 2nd in Division 1. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons hold an average of 33.9 PPG.

The Falcons are ranked 127th in the nation when it comes to team defense, giving up 35.1 points per game. They are allowing 5.3 yards per rushing attempt and 179.0 yards on the ground per contest so far this year. For the season, they have allowed 1,432 yards on the ground through 8 outings. Regarding passing yardage, the Falcons have conceded 2,252 yds which has them sitting in 126th in Division 1. They are conceding 281.5 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 70.0%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 460.5 yards per contest which has them ranked 131st in Division 1. They have allowed 15 touchdowns by air in addition to 20 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Spartans head into this game 2-5 for this season. In their last game, the Spartans took home the win by a final score of 45-38 against the Hawaii Warriors. San Jose State surrendered 25 running attempts for 95 yards (3.8 yds per rush). The Spartans pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 68.1%, relinquishing 401 yards on 32 for 47 through the air. The Spartans finished the game with a total of 630 yards and they ran 68 plays (9.3 yds per play). San Jose State ended up running for 6.1 yards per carry, finishing with 172 yds on 28 carries.

The San Jose State Spartans average 452.9 yards per outing, which has them sitting 23rd in college football. The San Jose State offense has racked up 434 yds of penalties on 51 infractions, which is good for 82nd in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 121.4 run yards per game and have run for 971 yards for this year. They have thrown 4 interceptions while letting opponents recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to tally 171 first downs. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Spartans are sitting 77th in Division 1 with 26.8 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Spartans have compiled 2,652 passing yards as well as holding an average of 331.5 passing yards per outing, ranking them 1st in college football.

The Spartans are giving up 30.4 points per contest, which has them ranked 111th in Division 1. San Jose State has given up a total of 986 yards rushing (123.3 yards/game) and 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 311.0 yards/outing, ranking them 136th in the nation. The Spartans defense has participated in 547 plays, which has them sitting 57th in the nation. They have compiled 5 fumbles and 6 interceptions this year. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 243 pts.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +4.5

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