Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 10/11/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 68

The Air Force Falcons (1-4) are traveling to Allegiant Stadium on Saturday, October 11, 2025 where they will meet the UNLV Rebels (5-0). Air Force is 7.0-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total is 68.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 1-4 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons faced the Navy Midshipmen and took a loss by a score of 34-31. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 178 yards on 29 attempts, which averages out to 6.1 yards per rush allowed. Air Force gave up 20 completions on 26 tries for a total of 339 yds, and a completion rate of 76.9%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 65 plays which converted into 460 yds. The Air Force Falcons ended up running the ball 45 times and totaled 211 yds, earning them an average of 4.7 yards per tote.

The Falcons have earned 2,339 total yards for this campaign. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Air Force has compiled 9 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 6 different times. Air Force has earned 110 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 23 penalties for 203 yards. As a team they are averaging 245.6 yards rushing ranking them 8th in the nation. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons are averaging 36.4 points per contest.

Regarding passing yards, the Falcons are conceding 1,562 yards which has them sitting in 130th in the nation. They have surrendered 312.4 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 71.2%. For the year, they are conceding 476.6 yards/outing ranking them 133rd in D-1. They have granted 11 touchdowns by air and 13 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing an average of 5.0 yards per rush on the ground and 164.2 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. For the year, they have allowed 821 yards via the running game in 5 contests. The Falcons rank 132nd in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 37.8 points per game.

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The Rebels head into this game 5-0 for this season. In their last game, the Rebels took home the win by a final score of 31-17 against the Wyoming Cowboys. UNLV conceded 26 attempts on the ground for 102 yards (3.9 yds per rush). The Rebels pass defense conceded a completion rate of 54.3%, relinquishing 254 yards on 25 for 46 passing. The Rebels finished with a total of 255 yds while running 59 plays (4.3 yds per play). UNLV ran the ball for 3.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 153 yds on 39 attempts.

The UNLV Rebels are averaging 411.4 yards/outing, ranking them 57th in the nation. The UNLV offense has accrued 414 yards of penalties on 42 infractions, which ranks 14th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They average 195.6 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 978 yards overall. They have thrown 3 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have earned 110 first downs. In relation to putting points on the board, the Rebels sit 38th in the nation by scoring 35.6 points per game. For the year thus far, the Rebels have thrown for a total of 1,079 passing yards along with holding an average of 215.8 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 81st in Division 1.

UNLV has conceded a total of 711 yards on the ground (142.2 yards/game) in addition to 6 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 271.2 yards/outing, which has them sitting 127th in Division 1. Overall, they have conceded 130 pts. They have earned 4 fumbles and 9 picks on the season. The Rebels defense has been on the field for 344 plays, which ranks 76th in the nation. The Rebels are conceding 26.0 points per contest, which puts them 86th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +7.0

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