Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction, 10/14/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars

Date: Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 60

The South Alabama Jaguars (1-5) will compete against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-4) at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Tuesday, October 14, 2025. Arkansas State is 7.0-point dogs. The total is 60.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into this game 2-4 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Red Wolves played the Texas State Bobcats and notched a win by a score of 31-30. At the end of the game, they tallied 69 plays which totaled 398 yds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ran the ball 34 different times and totaled 150 yards, earning them an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Red Wolves gave up 289 yds on 46 attempts, which calculates to 6.3 yards per rush allowed. Arkansas State gave up 18 pass completions on 26 attempts for 230 yds, and a completion rate of 69.2%.

The Red Wolves have racked up 2,172 yards in total over the course of this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Arkansas State has compiled 8 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 7 different times. Arkansas State has accrued 130 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 38 penalties for 344 yards. Offensively they're holding an average of 119.0 yards rushing ranking this team at 109th in the nation. When it comes to scoring points, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 23.3 PPG.

The Red Wolves sit in 120th in the country concerning team defense, giving up 31.7 PPG. They are giving up an average of 5.7 yards per run and 212.8 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have allowed 1,277 rushing yards through 6 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Red Wolves are giving up 1,569 yds which has them ranked 121st in the country. They have conceded 261.5 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 68.3%. Overall, they have surrendered 474.3 yards per game which puts them 134th in Division 1. They have given up 11 touchdowns through the air as well as 15 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 1-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Jaguars took a loss by a final score of 31-24 when they played the Troy Trojans. South Alabama relinquished 45 rush attempts for 217 yds (4.8 yards per rush). The Jaguars secondary gave up a completion rate of 61.9%, surrendering 203 yds on 13 for 21 through the air. The Jaguars ended up finishing with 369 yds and they ran 71 plays (5.2 yards per play). South Alabama ended up running for 4.7 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 265 yards on 56 carries.

The South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 380.5 yards per contest, which is good for 74th in the country. The South Alabama offense has racked up 290 yds of penalties on 38 infractions, which is 69th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 202.5 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,215 yards for the year. They have tossed 4 interceptions while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 120 1st downs. When looking at their scoring prowess, the Jaguars rank 90th in the country maintaining an average of 25.0 PPG. For the year thus far, the Jaguars have thrown for a total of 1,068 passing yards as well as an average of 178.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 113th in the country.

South Alabama has allowed a total of 1,197 rushing yards (199.5 yards per outing) in addition to 17 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air and 169.2 yards/outing, which has them ranked 23rd in Division 1. This season, they have relinquished 190 points in total. They have totaled 6 fumbles recovered and 2 picks for the season. The Jaguars defense has been on the field for 387 plays, which ranks 52nd in the nation. The Jaguars are giving up 31.7 points per game, which puts them 119th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Jaguars college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jaguars -7.0

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