Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 11/1/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, AL

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (-7.0)

Total/Over-Under: 54

The Troy Trojans (5-2) will compete against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-4) at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday, November 1, 2025. Arkansas State is 7.0-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 54.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into this game 3-4 for this season. In their last game, the Red Wolves played the Georgia Southern Eagles and earned the victory with a final of 34-24. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ended up running the ball 48 different times and compiled 266 yds, which came out to an average of 5.5 yards per attempt. In the game, they ran 85 plays which gave them 482 yds. Arkansas State relinquished 18 completions on 25 tries for a total of 208 yards, and a completion rate of 72.0%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Red Wolves gave up 128 yds on 41 tries, which is 3.1 yards per run allowed.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are sitting at 23.6 points per outing. Offensively they're averaging 142.3 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 84th in D-1. The Red Wolves have tallied 3,021 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Arkansas State has amassed 9 passing touchdowns and 11 touchdowns on the ground. Arkansas State has earned 180 first downs offensively, and they have committed 58 penalties for 517 yds. They have surrendered the ball 10 times.

Concerning yards through the air, the Red Wolves have given up 1,895 yards which puts them in 107th in college football. They have yielded 236.9 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 69.6%. Overall, they are conceding 432.5 yards per outing ranking them 122nd in the country. They have conceded 13 touchdowns by air as well as 18 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 5.2 yards per run and 195.6 rushing yards per contest this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,565 running yards through 8 games. The Red Wolves are ranked 97th in the nation when it comes to team defense, giving up 28.5 PPG.

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The Trojans come into this game with a record of 5-2 this season. In their last game, the Trojans got the victory with a final of 35-23 when they played the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns. Troy conceded 42 running attempts for 184 yds (4.4 yds per rush). The Trojans passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 52.2%, relinquishing 187 yds on 12 for 23 through the air. The Trojans finished with a total of 345 yards while they ran 63 plays (5.5 yards per play). Troy ran the football for 4.2 yards per tote, finishing the game with 165 yds on 39 attempts.

The Troy Trojans hold an average of 341.4 yards per game, which ranks them 105th in Division 1. The Troy offense has totaled 416 yards of penalties on 44 violations, which has them ranked 91st in the country in terms of hurting your team. They hold an average of 133.6 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,069 yards for the year. They have thrown 7 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 154 1st downs. Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Trojans are ranked 65th in college football scoring 29.1 points per outing. Over the course of the season thus far, the Trojans have a total of 1,662 yards through the air in addition to an average of 207.8 passing yards per outing, ranking them 93rd in the country.

The Trojans are giving up 24.3 points per game, which puts them 69th in the country. Troy has yielded a total of 1,400 yards on the ground (175.0 yards per game) and 14 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 189.1 yards/outing, which has them ranked 30th in the nation. The Trojans defense has taken the field for 522 plays, ranking them 77th in the country. Their defense has 4 fumbles and 7 picks for the year. In total, they have relinquished 194 points.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +7.0

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