Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 10/18/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (-3.0)

Total/Over-Under: 66

The Baylor Bears (4-2) are hitting the road to Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, October 18, 2025 where they will attempt to defeat the TCU Horned Frogs (4-2). TCU opens this game as 3.0-point favorites. The total is set at 66.

The Baylor Bears step onto the field holding a record of 4-2 for this season. In their last game, the Bears played against the Kansas State Wildcats and went home with a win by a final score of 35-34. The Baylor Bears ended up rushing 25 times and accounted for 98 yds, which is an average of 3.9 yds per attempt. When the final whistle blew, they ran 64 plays which totaled 443 yards. Baylor gave up 29 pass completions on 46 attempts for a total of 339 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Bears conceded 162 yards on 36 tries, which averages out to 4.5 yds per run allowed.

The Bears currently have 2,964 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Baylor has totaled 19 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times. Baylor has accounted for 156 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 38 infractions for 379 yards. As a unit they're holding an average of 145.3 yards rushing which ranks them 84th in D-1. Concerning scoring points, the Baylor Bears are sitting at 36.3 points per game.

The Bears are ranked 108th in D-1 concerning team defense, giving up 29.7 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.3 yards per running attempt and 177.2 rushing yards per game this season. For the year, they have given up 1,063 yards on the ground through 6 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Bears are giving up 1,359 yds which puts them in 76th in the country. They have conceded 226.5 yards per game through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.9%. In total, they have yielded 403.7 yards/outing which puts them 110th in D-1. They have yielded 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 12 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 4-2 for this season. In their last game, the Horned Frogs walked away with a loss by a score of 41-28 when they played the Kansas State Wildcats. The Horned Frogs finished the contest with a total of 448 yds on 69 plays (6.5 yds per play). TCU ran the ball for 3.3 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 72 yards on 22 attempts. TCU relinquished 45 attempts on the ground for 145 yards (3.2 yards per rush). The Horned Frogs passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 61.5%, relinquishing 198 yds on 16 for 26 through the air.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Horned Frogs are ranking 34th in the nation averaging 35.3 points per contest. The TCU Horned Frogs hold an average of 439.0 yards per outing, ranking them 34th in the country. The TCU offense has accrued 385 yards of penalties on 41 infractions, which has them ranked 44th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 7 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have tallied 134 1st downs. For the year so far, the Horned Frogs have compiled 1,934 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 322.3 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 5th in Division 1. They hold an average of 116.7 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 700 yards overall.

The Horned Frogs are relinquishing 24.7 PPG, which puts them 70th in D-1. TCU has conceded a total of 793 rushing yards (132.2 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns on the ground for the campaign. They have given up 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 240.7 yards per game, which has them sitting 100th in the nation. The Horned Frogs defense has been on the field for 408 plays, which is good for 81st in D-1. Their defense has totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions over the course of the season. This season, they have conceded 148 pts.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -3.0

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