Boise State Broncos vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, IN

TV: NBC Peacock

Odds/Point Spread: Fighting Irish (-19.5)

Total/Over-Under: 64.5

The Boise State Broncos (3-1) are hitting the road to Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025 where they will compete against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-2). Boise State opens this game as 19.5-point underdogs. The total has been set at 64.5.

The Boise State Broncos step onto the field holding a record of 3-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Broncos went up against the Appalachian State Mountaineers and walked away with a win by a score of 47-14. The Boise State Broncos ran the rock 44 different times and accrued 152 yds, which is an average of 3.5 yards per carry. At the end of the game, they tallied 82 plays which totaled 473 yards. Boise State surrendered 12 completions on 28 tries for 65 yards, and a completion percentage of 42.9%. When it came to stopping the run, the Broncos conceded 109 yards on 29 attempts, which is an average of 3.8 yds per run allowed.

When it comes to scoring points, the Boise State Broncos are averaging 38.5 points per outing. As a unit they have an average of 221.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 20th in the country. The Broncos have earned 2,080 total yards this year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Boise State has earned 9 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns. Boise State has earned 95 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 31 penalties for 274 yards. They have turned the football over 4 different times.

The Broncos are ranked 75th in the country concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 24.8 points per contest. They are allowing an average of 4.3 yards per tote and 152.8 rushing yards per game so far this year. In total, they have conceded 611 rushing yards through 4 games. In terms of passing yards, the Broncos have given up 742 yards which has them sitting in 29th in the country. They have given up 185.5 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 55.6%. During this campaign, they have relinquished 338.3 yards per game putting them 56th in college football. They have granted 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 9 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Fighting Irish come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Fighting Irish went home victorious with a score of 56-13 against the Arkansas Razorbacks. Notre Dame rushed the ball for 5.3 yards per carry, totaling 210 yds on 40 carries. The Fighting Irish finished the game with 641 yds while they ran 72 plays (8.9 yards per play). The Fighting Irish pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 53.1%, relinquishing 207 yds on 17 out of 32 through the air. Notre Dame surrendered 30 run attempts for 158 yds (5.3 yards per carry).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Fighting Irish are sitting 11th in college football by tallying 44.0 PPG. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish average 479.8 yards/contest, ranking them 16th in college football. The Notre Dame offense has compiled 118 yards of penalties on 18 violations, which has them ranked 118th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 2 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 100 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Fighting Irish have thrown for a total of 1,226 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 306.5 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 16th in Division 1. They are averaging 173.3 run yards per game and have run for 693 yards in total.

The Fighting Irish are conceding 27.8 PPG, which has them sitting 99th in the nation. Notre Dame has allowed a total of 486 yards via the ground game (121.5 yards/game) as well as 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air and 268.8 yards per game, which has them in 121st in D-1. The Fighting Irish defense has taken the field for 267 plays, which ranks them 41st in D-1. Their defense has earned 1 fumble and 4 interceptions over the course of the season. This season, they have given up 111 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Fighting Irish college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Fighting Irish -19.5

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