Boise State Broncos vs USF Bulls Prediction, 8/28/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs USF Bulls

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN/ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulls (+5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The USF Bulls (7-6 last year) will compete against the Boise State Broncos (12-2 last season) at Raymond James Stadium on Thursday, August 28, 2025. Boise State opens this game as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 63.5.

The Boise State Broncos finished the season holding a 12-2 record. In their last contest, the Broncos played the Penn State Nittany Lions and went home with a loss by a final score of 31-14. Overall, they ran 75 plays for 412 yds. The Boise State Broncos ended up running the ball 40 different times and accrued 108 yards, which had them averaging 2.7 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Broncos gave up 216 yards on 41 attempts, which is an average of 5.3 yards per run allowed. Boise State allowed 13 pass completions on 25 attempts for a total of 171 yards, and a completion rate of 52.0%.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the Boise State Broncos had an average of 37.3 PPG. As a unit they had an average of 240.4 yds via the ground game, which had them sitting 8th in D-1. The Broncos racked up 6,524 total yards for last season. Boise State totaled 22 touchdowns via the pass and 43 rushing touchdowns. Boise State totaled 328 1st downs as an offense, and they were called for 76 infractions for 647 yards. They surrendered the football 13 different times.

The Broncos ranked 38th in D-1 concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 22.6 PPG. Opposing teams ran for an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 122.3 rushing yards per game last season. During the season, they conceded 1,712 yards via the running game in 14 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Broncos conceded 3,380 yds which had them sitting in 125th in D-1. Over the course of their 14 games played, they gave up 241.4 yards per outing via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 60.6%. They surrendered 363.7 yards per outing putting them 60th in D-1. They conceded 24 touchdowns through the air as well as 15 rushing touchdowns.

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The Bulls ended the season having a 7-6 record. The last time they took the field, the Bulls got the victory with a final of 41-39 when they faced the San Jose State Spartans. USF ran the football for 1.6 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 56 yards on 34 attempts. The Bulls finished the contest with a total of 291 yards and they ran 70 plays (4.2 yards per play). The Bulls secondary allowed a completion rate of 56.9%, relinquishing 280 yards on 33 for 58 passing. USF relinquished 36 running attempts for 161 yards (4.5 yards per rush).

The USF Bulls held an average of 407.7 yards per contest, which had them sitting 46th in D-1. The USF offense compiled 922 penalty yds on 105 violations, which ranked them 7th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They held an average of 180.2 yards per game via the rush and rushed for 2,343 yards in total. They tossed 10 interceptions while conceding 8 fumbles and they tallied 265 1st downs. When looking at their scoring prowess, the Bulls ranked 33rd in the country scoring 32.2 PPG. Last season, the Bulls had a total of 2,958 yards via the pass along with averaging 227.5 passing yards per outing, which ranked 67th in college football.

USF allowed the opposition a total of 2,057 yards on the ground (158.2 yards per contest) and 25 touchdowns via the rush last season. They conceded 23 touchdowns through the air as well as 278.8 yards per outing, ranking them 128th in the country. They compiled 13 fumbles recovered and 12 picks over the course of last season. The Bulls defense participated in 982 plays, which ranked them 130th in the nation. The Bulls relinquished 29.8 points per contest, which put them in 99th in D-1. Overall, they relinquished 387 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Bulls college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos -5.5

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