Bowling Green Falcons vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 11/25/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Tuesday, November 25, 2025

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (+15.0)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The UMass Minutemen (0-11) will go up against the Bowling Green Falcons (3-8) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. UMass is 15.0-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 44.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons head into this matchup 3-8 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons took on the Akron Zips and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 19-16. Against the run, the Falcons conceded 143 yards on 37 attempts, which is 3.9 yds per run allowed. Bowling Green gave up 9 pass completions on 28 tries for a total of 176 yds, and a completion rate of 32.1%. In all, they had 71 plays which totaled 272 yds. The Bowling Green Falcons ended up running the ball 45 different times and accumulated 134 yards, which had them averaging 3.0 yds per attempt.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Bowling Green Falcons are averaging 18.3 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 144.4 yards on the ground which has them sitting 81st in the nation. The Falcons have racked up 3,275 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Bowling Green has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. Bowling Green has amassed 180 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 78 infractions for 718 yds. They have surrendered the ball 14 different times.

When it comes to passing yards, the Falcons are giving up 2,197 yds which puts them in 42nd in Division 1. They have allowed 199.7 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 58.5%. Overall, they are surrendering 347.7 yards/game which has them ranked 47th in D-1. They have yielded 13 touchdowns by air and 17 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rush and 148.0 yards on the ground per game on the season. For the year, they have allowed 1,628 rushing yards through 11 contests. The Falcons rank 72nd in the nation in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 25.2 points per game.

Get all of our Free College Football Picks

The Minutemen come into this matchup with a record of 0-11 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Minutemen took a defeat with a final score of 42-14 against the Ohio Bobcats. The Minutemen finished with 215 yds and they ran 67 plays (3.2 yds per play). UMass ended up running for 3.2 yards per carry, finishing the game with 125 yards on 39 carries. UMass conceded 57 rushing attempts for 363 yards (6.4 yards per rush). The Minutemen pass defense conceded a completion rate of 37.5%, surrendering 28 yards on 3 for 8 passing.

In relation to putting points on the board, the Minutemen sit 136th in the nation scoring 10.8 points per outing. The UMass Minutemen have an average of 243.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 136th in D-1. The UMass offense has 490 yds of penalties on 61 violations, which has them ranked 97th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 9 interceptions while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have earned 171 1st downs. During this campaign to this point, the Minutemen currently have a total of 1,758 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 159.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 120th in the nation. They maintain an average of 83.6 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 920 yards overall.

The Minutemen are allowing 38.0 points per contest, which has them ranked 134th in college football. UMass has given up a total of 2,378 rushing yards (216.2 yards/game) as well as 28 touchdowns rushing on the season. They have conceded 26 touchdowns through the air as well as 220.2 yards per contest, which has them ranked 67th in Division 1. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 767 plays, ranking them 106th in Division 1. They have tallied 6 fumbles and 4 interceptions for the season. This season, they have conceded 418 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons -15.0

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college football picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.