Florida State Seminoles vs Florida Gators Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (-1.0)

Total/Over-Under: 50

The Florida Gators (3-8) will take on the Florida State Seminoles (5-6) at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, November 29, 2025. Florida is 1.0-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 50.

The Florida State Seminoles head into this game 5-6 for this year. In their last matchup, the Seminoles played against the NC State Wolfpack and went home with a loss by a final score of 21-11. For the game, they tallied 66 plays for 383 yards. The Florida State Seminoles ran the rock 34 times and accrued 180 yards, earning them an average of 5.3 yards per carry. Against the run, the Seminoles gave up 134 yards on 42 attempts, which calculates to 3.2 yds per run allowed. Florida State gave up 18 pass completions on 26 tries for a total of 152 yards, and a completion rate of 69.2%.

When it comes to scoring, the Florida State Seminoles are sitting at 34.1 PPG. As a unit they're holding an average of 223.4 yards in the run game ranking this team at 11th in Division 1. The Seminoles have racked up 5,258 total yards this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Florida State has compiled 18 touchdowns through the air and 30 touchdowns via the ground. Florida State has amassed 267 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 61 penalties for 516 yards. They have turned the ball over 17 different times.

Concerning passing yards, the Seminoles are giving up 2,121 yards which puts them in 33rd in the nation. They are giving up 192.8 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 62.2%. In total, they have yielded 318.7 yards per contest putting them at 27th in college football. They have given up 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 3.3 yards per rushing attempt and 125.9 yards on the ground per contest this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,385 yards via the running game in 11 games. The Seminoles sit in 30th in the country regarding team defense, allowing 20.4 PPG.

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The Gators head into this matchup 3-8 this season. In their last game, the Gators went home defeated by a final of 31-11 when they played the Tennessee Volunteers. The Gators finished the contest with a total of 261 yds while they ran 47 plays (5.6 yds per play). Florida rushed for 4.8 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 145 yards on 30 carries. Florida conceded 51 rushing attempts for 248 yds (4.9 yds per rush). The Gators passing defense conceded a completion rate of 77.3%, relinquishing 204 yards on 17 out of 22 passing.

The Florida Gators hold an average of 332.4 yards per game, which has them ranked 110th in college football. The Florida offense has 479 penalty yards on 56 violations, which has them ranked 109th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They maintain an average of 124.5 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 1,370 yards in total. They have tossed 13 interceptions while conceding 4 fumbles and they have recorded 201 1st downs. When looking at their scoring prowess, the Gators currently sit 120th in D-1 by scoring 19.9 PPG. For the year so far, the Gators have thrown for 2,287 passing yards along with holding an average of 207.9 passing yards per game, ranking them 91st in D-1.

Florida has given up a total of 1,680 yards on the ground (152.7 yards per game) and 20 touchdowns rushing on the campaign. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns through the air and 221.4 yards/game, which has them sitting 71st in the country. In total, they have allowed 267 total points. They have compiled 6 fumbles and 9 picks on the campaign. The Gators defense has participated in 733 plays, which is 69th in the country. The Gators are giving up 24.3 points per contest, which puts them 65th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Seminoles/Gators college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Gators -1.0

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