Hawaii Warriors vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 9/27/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Hawaii Warriors vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-6.0)

Total/Over-Under: 53

The Hawaii Warriors (3-2) are hitting the road to Falcon Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025 where they will try to defeat the Air Force Falcons (1-2). Hawaii is 6.0-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 53.

The Hawaii Warriors come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Warriors played the Fresno State Bulldogs and went home with a loss by a final score of 23-21. The Hawaii Warriors ended up running the ball 27 different times and accrued 89 yards, which had them averaging 3.3 yds per carry. For the game, they had 74 plays which converted into 308 yards. Hawaii conceded 22 completions on 29 tries for a total of 230 yards, and a completion rate of 75.9%. In the running game, the Warriors gave up 71 yards on 32 attempts, which calculates to 2.2 yds per rush surrendered.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Hawaii Warriors have an average of 22.0 points per contest. As a unit they're averaging 96.4 yards in the run game ranking them 124th in college football. The Warriors have earned 1,678 total yards for the year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Hawaii has compiled 8 touchdowns through the air and 0 touchdowns on the ground. Hawaii has 103 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 41 penalties for 387 yards. They have surrendered the ball 12 times.

The Warriors sit in 59th in college football when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 21.2 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per run and 110.2 rushing yards per contest on the year. Overall, they have given up 551 rushing yards through 5 contests. In terms of passing yards, the Warriors have conceded 848 yards which puts them in 83rd in D-1. They are giving up 169.6 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 62.8%. Over the course of this year, they have surrendered 279.8 yards/game ranking them 29th in college football. They have granted 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 1-2 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons took a defeat with a final score of 49-37 when they faced the Boise State Broncos. The Falcons finished the contest with 514 yds while running 75 plays (6.9 yds per play). Air Force rushed the ball for 4.9 yards per tote, totaling 268 yds on 55 attempts. Air Force relinquished 31 run attempts for 282 yards (9.1 yds per carry). The Falcons passing defense allowed a completion rate of 59.3%, surrendering 310 yards on 16 for 27 through the air.

When discussing this team's ability to score points, the Falcons currently rank 32nd in the country with 38.7 points per outing. The Air Force Falcons hold an average of 461.7 yards/game, which ranks them 29th in D-1. The Air Force offense has totaled 136 yds of penalties on 15 violations, which is 119th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 3 interceptions while conceding 1 fumble and they have been able to record 70 1st downs. For the year so far, the Falcons have a total of 584 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 194.7 throwing yards per outing, which is ranked 96th in the nation. They average 267.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 801 yards overall.

Air Force has conceded a total of 565 rushing yards (188.3 yards/game) as well as 10 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 255.3 yards per outing, ranking them 108th in the nation. This year, they have surrendered 111 points in total. They have 1 fumble and 2 interceptions over the course of the season. The Falcons defense has taken part in 176 plays, which is 6th in the country. The Falcons are surrendering 37.0 points per contest, ranking them 128th in college football.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -6.0

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