Hawaii Warriors vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 11/21/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Hawaii Warriors vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-3.0)

Total/Over-Under: 64.5

Allegiant Stadium is the site where the UNLV Rebels (8-2) will compete against the Hawaii Warriors (7-3) on Friday, November 21, 2025. UNLV opens this game as 3.0-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 64.5.

The Hawaii Warriors head into this matchup 7-3 this season. In their last matchup, the Warriors played against the San Diego State Aztecs and walked away with a win by a score of 38-6. In all, they tallied 69 plays for 386 yds. The Hawaii Warriors rushed the ball a total of 35 times and accumulated 130 yards, earning them an average of 3.7 yards per carry. On the ground, the Warriors gave up 135 yards on 34 tries, which is 4.0 yards per run allowed. Hawaii allowed 10 completions on 28 attempts for 132 yards, and a completion rate of 35.7%.

The Warriors have earned 4,076 total yards for the season. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Hawaii has amassed 23 touchdowns via the pass and 7 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 16 times. Hawaii has a total of 216 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 72 infractions for 601 yds. Offensively they are averaging 105.2 yards rushing which ranks them 125th in D-1. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Hawaii Warriors hold an average of 30.5 PPG.

The Warriors are ranked 67th in college football regarding team defense, allowing 23.7 PPG. The opposition is running for 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 132.5 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 1,325 yards via the running game in 10 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Warriors have given up 2,161 yards which has them sitting in 60th in the nation. They have allowed 216.1 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 56.5%. In total, they have relinquished 348.6 yards per game putting them at 52nd in college football. They have yielded 11 touchdowns by air as well as 14 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 8-2 this season. In their last game, the Rebels walked away with a victory by a final of 29-26 when they played the Utah State Aggies. UNLV rushed the football for 4.6 yards per attempt, finishing with 146 yards on 32 attempts. The Rebels finished with 422 yards on 75 plays (5.6 yds per play). The Rebels pass defense gave up a completion rate of 58.6%, surrendering 189 yards on 17 out of 29 passing. UNLV surrendered 34 rush attempts for 103 yds (3.0 yds per carry).

The UNLV Rebels average 459.3 yards/contest, which ranks them 17th in D-1. The UNLV offense has totaled 645 yds of penalties on 73 violations, which is 22nd in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 201.3 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 2,013 yards for the year. They have given away 6 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have tallied 231 1st downs. When looking at how much they score, the Rebels are 16th in Division 1 averaging 36.6 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Rebels have a total of 2,580 passing yards as well as an average of 258.0 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 43rd in the country.

The Rebels are surrendering 31.0 points per game, which has them 114th in the nation. UNLV has given up a total of 1,845 yards rushing (184.5 yards/game) as well as 18 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have surrendered 19 touchdowns via the pass and 264.1 yards/game, which has them ranked 120th in Division 1. The Rebels defense has taken the field for 676 plays, which has them sitting 82nd in the nation. Their defense has 6 fumbles recovered and 12 picks this season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 310 pts.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels -3.0

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