Houston Cougars vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Cougars vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The Houston Cougars (8-3) are traveling to McLane Stadium on Saturday, November 29, 2025 where they will compete against the Baylor Bears (5-6). Baylor opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 60.5.

The Houston Cougars step onto the field holding a record of 8-3 for this year. In their last matchup, the Cougars faced the TCU Horned Frogs and took a loss by a score of 17-14. The Houston Cougars ended up running the ball 40 different times and accrued 230 yards, earning them an average of 5.8 yds per carry. Overall, they ran 69 plays for 391 yards. Houston relinquished 24 completions on 33 attempts for a total of 293 yds, and a completion percentage of 72.7%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Cougars gave up 133 yds on 36 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yards per run allowed.

The Cougars have attained 4,274 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring, Houston has amassed 21 touchdowns via the pass and 13 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 different times. Houston has a total of 226 first downs as a team, and they have committed 54 penalties for 468 yds. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 172.0 yards on the ground which is 54th in Division 1. In terms of scoring, the Houston Cougars are averaging 28.1 points per contest.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Cougars have given up 2,269 yards which has them ranked 48th in Division 1. They have given up 206.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.5%. For the year, they are conceding 341.5 yards per contest which puts them 44th in college football. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 15 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 3.7 yards per rush on the ground and 135.3 rushing yards per game this season. For the year, they have conceded 1,488 rushing yards through 11 games. The Cougars are sitting in 41st in the nation concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 21.6 PPG.

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The Bears come into this matchup with a record of 5-6 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bears went home defeated by a final of 41-17 against the Arizona Wildcats. Baylor conceded 35 running attempts for 172 yards (4.9 yards per rush). The Bears pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 56.0%, relinquishing 183 yards on 14 for 25 through the air. The Bears finished the contest with a total of 343 yards and they ran 78 plays (4.4 yds per play). Baylor ended up running for 4.0 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 181 yds on 45 attempts.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Bears currently rank 42nd in D-1 with 31.7 points per outing. The Baylor Bears maintain an average of 453.8 yards/contest, which has them sitting 21st in the country. The Baylor offense has compiled 642 penalty yards on 64 infractions, which has them sitting 77th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 11 picks while allowing opponents to recover 11 fumbles and they have tallied 272 1st downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bears have compiled 3,406 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 309.6 passing yards per contest, ranking them 3rd in D-1. They have an average of 144.2 run yards per game and have run for 1,586 yards in total.

The Bears are giving up 32.7 PPG, which has them sitting 123rd in the nation. Baylor has allowed a total of 2,151 yards on the ground (195.5 yards per outing) as well as 28 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed the opposition 17 touchdowns through the air and 194.4 yards/outing, which has them in 36th in D-1. The Bears defense has been on the field for 748 plays, which is 93rd in the country. They have compiled 2 fumbles and 8 picks over the course of the season. Overall, they have relinquished 360 points.

Who will win tonight's Cougars/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cougars +2.5

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