Kansas Jayhawks vs UCF Knights Prediction, 10/4/2025 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas Jayhawks vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (+4.0)

Total/Over-Under: 55

The UCF Knights (3-1) will take on the Kansas Jayhawks (3-2) at FBC Mortgage Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Kansas opens this contest as 4.0-point favorites. The total has been set at 55.

The Kansas Jayhawks come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 this season. In their last matchup, the Jayhawks played the Cincinnati Bearcats and took a loss by a final of 37-34. The Kansas Jayhawks ended up running the ball 27 times and totaled 152 yards, earning them an average of 5.6 yards per attempt. When the final whistle blew, they ran 55 plays which converted into 597 yds. Kansas gave up 29 completions on 44 attempts for 388 yards, and a completion rate of 65.9%. In the running game, the Jayhawks gave up 215 yards on 37 tries, which calculates to 5.8 yards per run allowed.

The Jayhawks have earned 2,253 yards in total this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Kansas has compiled 16 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 4 times. Kansas has recorded 112 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 26 infractions for 203 yards. As a unit they maintain an average of 183.4 yards rushing which is 48th in Division 1. Regarding putting points on the board, the Kansas Jayhawks have an average of 36.6 points per contest.

Regarding passing yards, the Jayhawks are giving up 1,133 yards which has them ranked 107th in the nation. They have conceded 226.6 yards per game through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 65.6%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 376.0 yards per game which ranks them 85th in D-1. They have given up 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 6 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 4.1 yards per rush on the ground and 149.4 rushing yards per game for the campaign. For the season, they have given up 747 running yards through 5 games. The Jayhawks are ranked 51st in college football concerning team defense, giving up 20.6 PPG.

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The Knights come into this game with a record of 3-1 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Knights went home defeated by a final of 34-20 when they faced the Kansas State Wildcats. The Knights finished the game with a total of 402 yards while they ran 59 plays (6.8 yds per play). UCF rushed for 6.2 yards per attempt, totaling 205 yards on 33 attempts. UCF conceded 44 running attempts for 266 yds (6.0 yards per carry). The Knights pass defense gave up a completion rate of 69.2%, relinquishing 168 yards on 18 for 26 through the air.

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Knights rank 46th in Division 1 averaging 34.8 points per contest. The UCF Knights hold an average of 437.5 yards/game, which is good for 42nd in the country. The UCF offense has racked up 220 yds of penalties on 28 infractions, which is 59th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 2 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 79 first downs. For the year so far, the Knights have racked up 938 passing yards in addition to an average of 234.5 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 66th in Division 1. They are averaging 203.0 yards per game on the ground and have run for 812 yards for the year.

The Knights are allowing 15.0 points per contest, which has them 21st in Division 1. UCF has given up a total of 654 yards rushing (163.5 yards/game) in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have conceded 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 129.8 yards/outing, ranking them 6th in the country. The Knights defense has been on the field for 259 plays, which has them sitting 31st in D-1. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles recovered and 5 picks for the season. This year, they have allowed 60 total points.

Who will win tonight's Jayhawks/Knights college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jayhawks -4.0

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